Pirates vs. Phillies Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Pirates vs. Phillies MLB game on July 1, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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MLB
Pirates
Paul Skenes 6-7, 3.10 ERA
6
10
Citizens Bank Park
Phillies
Zack Wheeler 8-1, 2.03 ERA
Citizens Bank Park
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Pirates
0 0 2 0 2 0 2 0 0 6 12 1
Phillies
0 5 1 2 0 0 0 2 X 10 11 0
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Pirates
    0%
  • Phillies
    100%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Jared Triolo strikes out swinging.
Quick Box Score
Pirates Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 K. Griffin SS5110001.2000.400
2 B. Lowe 2B4010011.2500.650
3 B. Reynolds DH5011003.2000.400
4 E. Valdez LF5110001.2000.400
5 R. O'Hearn 1B5110002.2000.400
6 N. Gonzales 3B4131010.7501.550
7 J. Mangum CF3120010.6671.467
8 J. Triolo RF2013001.5001.667
9 H. Davis C4111102.2501.250
Phillies Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 T. Turner SS5223101.4001.400
2 K. Schwarber DH4000013.0000.200
3 B. Harper 1B4012013.2500.900
4 B. Marsh LF4221111.5001.850
5 A. Bohm 3B4212102.2501.400
6 B. Stott 2B5120000.4000.800
7 J. Realmuto C3000012.0000.250
8 D. Hill RF0000000.0000.000
9 J. Crawford CF4110000.2500.500

Pirates vs. Phillies: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Pirates vs. Phillies
  • Date: Wednesday, July 1, 2026
  • Time: 6:40 PM ET
  • Venue: Citizens Bank Park

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Phillies favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 8.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Pirates 41¢, Phillies 58¢

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Pirates: 43%
  • Phillies: 57%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Pirates a win probability of 43%, while the Phillies have a win probability of 57%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Phillies are more likely to beat the Pirates in the MLB game at Citizens Bank Park on Wednesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Pirates vs. Phillies predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.