Home run predictions for Friday include Aaron Judge, Kyle Schwarber [7/11/2025]

Our MLB home run predictions for Friday, July 11, 2025, are here—with Aaron Judge leading the list according to the latest Dimers Pro simulation data.

We don't guess. Friday's HR projections come straight from our home run predictions, which simulate every MLB matchup 10,000 times to reveal the top home run bets today.

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Home run predictions for July 11, 2025

Our analysis shows Judge leads today's MLB home run predictions with a 24.6% chance to go yard, followed by Kyle Schwarber (21.2%) and Shohei Ohtani (20.7%).

Giancarlo Stanton and Pete Alonso are among several other sluggers to rank inside the top 10. Want the full list of home run props today—including every player's HR probability for Friday? Join Dimers Pro now.

Friday's home run picks [7/11/2025]

After running 10,000 simulations per matchup and evaluating key factors like weather and pitching matchups, Dimers Pro has identified one of the best MLB home run props today.

Teoscar Hernandez (Dodgers) to hit a home run

• Probability: 15.5%
• Odds: +1050
• Edge: 6.8%
• Game: Dodgers vs. Giants (10:15PM ET)
• Pitching matchup: Logan Webb

Despite not cracking the top 10 in today's home run predictions, Los Angeles slugger Teoscar Hernandez offers standout value at +1050 with BetMGM, showing an edge of 6.8%—making him one of the strongest home run bets today.

In a matchup against Giants starter Logan Webb, Hernandez shapes up as one of the best home run picks today on Friday's slate.

Teoscar Hernandez to hit a home run

+1050

Bet $20
Payout $230Bet $20, Payout $230

For more expert MLB picks and data-led MLB predictions, join Dimers Pro now. Pro users get full access to a total of 109 home run predictions today, plus hit and RBI projections, pitcher props, and more—perfect for building smarter MLB parlays and round robins.

Dimers Pro has 109 home run picks for Friday

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MLB schedule for today [Friday, July 11, 2025]

• Marlins vs. Orioles (7:05PM ET, Friday)
• Cubs vs. Yankees (7:05PM ET, Friday)
• Rays vs. Red Sox (7:10PM ET, Friday)
• Mariners vs. Tigers (7:10PM ET, Friday)
• Pirates vs. Twins (8:10PM ET, Friday)
• Rangers vs. Astros (8:10PM ET, Friday)
• Mets vs. Royals (8:10PM ET, Friday)
• Nationals vs. Brewers (8:10PM ET, Friday)
• Braves vs. Cardinals (8:15PM ET, Friday)
• D-Backs vs. Angels (9:38PM ET, Friday)
• Phillies vs. Padres (9:40PM ET, Friday)
• Blue Jays vs. Athletics (10:05PM ET, Friday)
• Dodgers vs. Giants (10:15PM ET, Friday)

Conclusion

For July 11, 2025, our MLB home run predictions are locked in, with sluggers like Aaron Judge, Kyle Schwarber and Shohei Ohtani projected to be among the most powerful bats in today’s games. But it's Teoscar Hernandez who stands out as the best value bet, offering an appealing 6.8% edge at +1050 odds.

These insights are based on 10,000 game simulations and are designed to help you identify smarter betting opportunities. As always, gamble responsibly. If you or someone you know needs support, call 1-800-GAMBLER.

For more coverage, check out today's MLB player props and MLB best bets. Plus, stay updated with the latest MLB news, MLB betting trends updated every 15 minutes, and World Series odds.

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