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Home run predictions for Thursday include Aaron Judge [6/19/2025]
Get home run predictions today backed by expert analysis of Thursday's MLB slate.

Our MLB home run predictions for Thursday June 19, 2025, are here—with Aaron Judge leading the list according to the latest Dimers Pro simulation data.
These home run projections today come from our MLB HR predictions tool, which highlights Thursday's top slugging candidates.
Home run predictions for June 19, 2025
Player (Team) | HR Projection |
---|---|
Aaron Judge (Yankees) | 24.4% |
Giancarlo Stanton (Yankees) | 23.3% |
Shohei Ohtani (Dodgers) | 22.1% |
Kyle Schwarber (Phillies) | 🔒 |
Pete Alonso (Mets) | 🔒 |
Brent Rooker (Athletics) | 🔒 |
Byron Buxton (Twins) | 🔒 |
Teoscar Hernandez (Dodgers) | 🔒 |
Jazz Chisholm (Yankees) | 🔒 |
Fernando Tatis (Padres) | 🔒 |
Our analysis shows Judge leads today's MLB home run predictions, with a 24.4% chance to go yard, followed by Giancarlo Stanton (23.3%) and Shohei Ohtani (22.1%).
Kyle Schwarber and Pete Alonso are among several other sluggers to rank inside the top 10. Want the full list of home run props today—including every player's HR probability for Thursday? Join Dimers Pro now.

Thursday's home run picks [6/19/2025]
After running 10,000 simulations per matchup and evaluating key variables like weather and pitching matchups, Dimers Pro has identified one of the best MLB home run props today.
Nick Fortes (Marlins) to hit a home run
- Probability: 8.6%
- Odds: +1800
- Edge: 3.4%
- Game: Phillies vs. Marlins (6:40PM ET)
- Pitching matchup: Cristopher Sánchez
Despite not cracking the top 10 in today's home run predictions, Marlins slugger Nick Fortes offers serious value at +1800 with DraftKings Sportsbook, showing an edge of 3.4%—making him one of the strongest home run bets today.
Set to face Cristopher Sánchez in tonight’s Phillies-Marlins matchup, factoring in both projection edge and odds,Fortes has emerged as the one of the best home run picks today on Thursday's slate.
For more expert MLB picks and data-backed MLB predictions, join Dimers Pro now. Pro users get full access to a total of 45 home run predictions today, plus hit and RBI projections, pitcher props, and more—perfect for building smarter MLB parlays and round robins.
MLB schedule for today [Thursday, June 19, 2025]
- Angels vs. Yankees (1:05PM ET, Thursday)
- Brewers vs. Cubs (2:20PM ET, Thursday)
- Royals vs. Rangers (2:35PM ET, Thursday)
- D-Backs vs. Blue Jays (3:07PM ET, Thursday)
- Guardians vs. Giants (4:05PM ET, Thursday)
- Phillies vs. Marlins (6:40PM ET, Thursday)
- Mets vs. Braves (7:15PM ET, Thursday)
- Orioles vs. Rays (7:35PM ET, Thursday)
- Padres vs. Dodgers (10:10PM ET, Thursday)
Conclusion
For June 19, 2025, our MLB home run predictions are locked in, with sluggers like Aaron Judge, Giancarlo Stanton and Shohei Ohtani projected to be among the most powerful bats in today’s games. But it's Nick Fortes who stands out as the best value bet, offering a favorable 3.4% edge at +1800 odds.
These insights are based on 10,000 game simulations and are designed to help you identify smarter betting opportunities. As always, gamble responsibly. If you or someone you know needs support, call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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