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MLB home run predictions for Sunday led by Aaron Judge [6/15/2025]

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Written by Jason Bevilacqua

Our expert analysis on Sunday's MLB home run market.

MLB Home Run Predictions Today.
The most likely MLB home run hitters for Sunday have been revealed.

As Sunday's MLB action gets underway on June 15, 2025, Aaron Judge leads the list of MLB home run predictions, according to the latest Dimers Pro simulation data.

Our MLB hitter projections for Sunday's slate, powered by 10,000 simulations per matchup, highlight who's favored to go deep today. The table below highlights the top home run candidates in today's games.

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MLB home run predictions today [MLB cheat sheet for June 15, 2025]

Player (Team) Home run probability
Aaron Judge (Yankees) 24.4%
Shohei Ohtani (Dodgers) 21.5%
Cal Raleigh (Mariners) 20.1%
Kyle Schwarber (Phillies) 🔒
Pete Alonso (Mets) 🔒
Mike Trout (Angels) 🔒
Brent Rooker (Athletics) 🔒
Fernando Tatis (Padres) 🔒
Matt Olson (Braves) 🔒
Jo Adell (Angels) 🔒

According to our projections, Judge tops today's list with a 24.4% chance to hit a home run. He's followed closely by Shohei Ohtani (21.5%) and Cal Raleigh (20.1%).

Kyle Schwarber and Pete Alonso are also among the top 10. To see their full probabilities, as well as projections for every player expected to step up to the plate on Sunday, sign up for Dimers Pro.

Aaron Judge 2025.
Aaron Judge is among the top contenders in the MLB to hit a home run on Sunday, June 15, 2025.

Dimers Pro pick of the day: MLB HR prop [Sunday, 6/15/2025]

After evaluating projected home runs, weather factors, and pitching matchups, our model has surfaced the following standout home run value bet for Sunday.

Jazz Chisholm Jr. (Yankees) to hit a home run

Despite not being ranked in the top 10 most likely players to hit a home run today, Jazz Chisholm Jr. of the Yankees offers a strong +750 payout with BetMGM, with an edge of 5.0% according to our projections.

With Brayan Bello on the mound for the Red Sox, this combination of above-market value and power potential makes Jr. the best HR bet on Sunday's slate.

For more MLB picks and MLB predictions, sign up to Dimers Pro.

You’ll gain access to hit and RBI projections, pitcher props, and full access to our complete HR projections—perfect for building MLB parlays and round robins today

Reveal 180 HR picks for Sunday

MLB schedule for today [Sunday, June 15, 2025]

Conclusion

For June 15, 2025, our MLB home run predictions are locked in, with players like Aaron Judge, Shohei Ohtani and Cal Raleigh projected to be among the most powerful bats in today’s games. It's Jazz Chisholm Jr. though that stands out as the best value bet, offering a 5.0% edge at +750 odds.

These insights are based on 10,000 game simulations and are designed to help you identify smarter betting opportunities. As always, gamble responsibly. If you or someone you know needs support, call 1-800-GAMBLER.

For more coverage, check out today's MLB player props and MLB best bets. Plus, stay updated with the latest MLB news, MLB betting trends and World Series odds.

Note: This article may include affiliate links. Learn how we review products and services.

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Written by
Jason Bevilacqua
Head of Content and Communities

Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.

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