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MLB home run predictions for Saturday spotlight Aaron Judge [6/14/2025]

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Written by Dave Garofolo

Our expert analysis on Saturday's MLB home run market.

MLB Home Run Predictions Today.
The most likely MLB home run hitters for Saturday have been revealed.

As Saturday's MLB action gets underway on June 14, 2025, Aaron Judge tops the list of MLB home run predictions, according to the latest Dimers Pro simulation data.

Our MLB hitter projections for Saturday's slate, powered by 10,000 simulations per matchup, highlight who's favored to slug a dinger today. The table below highlights the top home run candidates across today's games.

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MLB home run predictions today [MLB cheat sheet for June 14, 2025]

Player (Team) Home run probability
Aaron Judge (Yankees) 24.1%
Shohei Ohtani (Dodgers) 22.0%
Kyle Schwarber (Phillies) 20.4%
Cal Raleigh (Mariners) 🔒
Brent Rooker (Athletics) 🔒
Fernando Tatis (Padres) 🔒
Mike Trout (Angels) 🔒
Pete Alonso (Mets) 🔒
Jazz Chisholm (Yankees) 🔒
Kerry Carpenter (Tigers) 🔒

According to our projections, Judge tops today's list with a 24.1% chance to hit a home run. He's followed closely by Shohei Ohtani (22.0%) and Kyle Schwarber (20.4%).

Cal Raleigh and Brent Rooker are also among the top 10. To see their full probabilities, as well as projections for every player expected to have an at-bat on Saturday, sign up for Dimers Pro.

Aaron Judge 2025.
Aaron Judge is among the top contenders in the MLB to hit a home run on Saturday, June 14, 2025.

Dimers Pro pick of the day: MLB HR prop [Saturday, 6/14/2025]

After evaluating projected home runs, weather factors, and pitching matchups, our model has surfaced the following standout home run value bet for Saturday.

Keston Hiura (Rockies) to hit a home run

  • Probability: 15.4%
  • Odds: +950
  • Edge: 5.9%
  • Game: Rockies vs. Braves (4:10PM ET)
  • Pitching matchup: Spencer Strider

Despite not being ranked in the top 10 most likely players to hit a home run today, Keston Hiura of the Rockies offers a strong +950 payout with BetMGM, with an edge of 5.9% according to our projections.

With Spencer Strider on the mound for the Braves, Hiura stands out as the best HR bet on Saturday's slate.

For more MLB picks and MLB predictions, sign up to Dimers Pro.

You’ll gain access to hit and RBI projections, pitcher props, and full access to our complete HR projections—perfect for building MLB parlays and round robins today

Reveal 157 HR picks for Saturday
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MLB schedule for today [Saturday, June 14, 2025]

Conclusion

For June 14, 2025, our MLB home run predictions are locked in, with players like Aaron Judge, Shohei Ohtani and Kyle Schwarber projected to be among the most powerful bats in today’s games. It's Keston Hiura though that stands out as the best value bet, offering a 5.9% edge at +950 odds.

These insights are based on 10,000 game simulations and are designed to help you identify smarter betting opportunities. As always, gamble responsibly. If you or someone you know needs support, call 1-800-GAMBLER.

For more coverage, check out today's MLB player props and MLB best bets. Plus, stay updated with the latest MLB news, MLB betting trends and World Series odds.

Note: This article may include affiliate links. Learn how we review products and services.

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Written by
Dave Garofolo
Content Producer

Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.

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