MLB home run predictions for Wednesday led by Aaron Judge [6/11/2025]

As Wednesday's MLB action gets underway on June 11, 2025, Aaron Judge leads the list of MLB home run predictions, according to the latest Dimers Pro simulation data.

Our MLB hitter projections for Wednesday's slate, powered by 10,000 simulations per matchup, highlight who's most likely to hit a homer today. We've listed the most dangerous bats on the slate across today's games.

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MLB home run predictions today [MLB cheat sheet for June 11, 2025]

According to our projections, Judge tops today's list with a 23.4% chance to hit a home run. Right behind him are Shohei Ohtani (21.2%) and Kyle Schwarber (20.5%).

Cal Raleigh and Fernando Tatis are also among the top 10. To see their full probabilities, as well as projections for every player expected to have an at-bat on Wednesday, sign up for Dimers Pro.

Dimers Pro pick of the day: MLB HR prop [Wednesday, 6/11/2025]

After evaluating projected home runs, weather factors, and pitching matchups, our model has surfaced the following standout home run value bet for Wednesday.

Jazz Chisholm Jr. (Yankees) to hit a home run

• Probability: 16.6%
• Odds: +950
• Edge: 7.1%
• Game: Yankees vs. Royals (7:40PM ET)
• Pitching matchup: Kris Bubic

Despite not being ranked in the top 10 most likely players to hit a home run today, Jazz Chisholm Jr. of the Yankees offers a strong +950 payout with BetMGM, with an edge of 7.1% according to our projections.

Set to face Kris Bubic in tonight’s Yankees-Royals matchup, this combination of above-market value and power potential makes Jr. the best HR bet on Wednesday's slate.

Jazz Chisholm Jr. to hit a home run

+950

Bet $20
Payout $210Bet $20, Payout $210

For more MLB picks and MLB predictions, sign up to Dimers Pro.

You’ll gain access to hit and RBI projections, pitcher props, and full access to our complete HR projections—perfect for building MLB parlays and round robins today

Access 106 HR picks for Wednesday

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MLB schedule for today [Wednesday, June 11, 2025]

• Marlins vs. Pirates (12:35PM ET, Wednesday)
• Reds vs. Guardians (1:10PM ET, Wednesday)
• Braves vs. Brewers (2:10PM ET, Wednesday)
• Blue Jays vs. Cardinals (2:15PM ET, Wednesday)
• Mariners vs. D-Backs (3:40PM ET, Wednesday)
• Athletics vs. Angels (4:07PM ET, Wednesday)
• Dodgers vs. Padres (4:10PM ET, Wednesday)
• Tigers vs. Orioles (6:35PM ET, Wednesday)
• Nationals vs. Mets (7:10PM ET, Wednesday)
• Rays vs. Red Sox (7:10PM ET, Wednesday)
• Yankees vs. Royals (7:40PM ET, Wednesday)
• Rangers vs. Twins (7:40PM ET, Wednesday)
• Giants vs. Rockies (8:40PM ET, Wednesday)

Conclusion

For June 11, 2025, our MLB home run predictions are locked in, with players like Aaron Judge, Shohei Ohtani and Kyle Schwarber projected to be among the most powerful bats in today’s games. It's Jazz Chisholm Jr. though that stands out as the best value bet, offering a 7.1% edge at +950 odds.

These insights are based on 10,000 game simulations and are designed to help you identify smarter betting opportunities. As always, gamble responsibly. If you or someone you know needs support, call 1-800-GAMBLER.

For more coverage, check out today's MLB player props and MLB best bets. Plus, stay updated with the latest MLB news, MLB betting trends and World Series odds.

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