MLB home run predictions for Wednesday led by Aaron Judge [6/11/2025]

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Written by Jason Bevilacqua

Our expert analysis on Wednesday's MLB home run market.

MLB Home Run Predictions Today.
The most likely MLB home run hitters for Wednesday have been revealed.

As Wednesday's MLB action gets underway on June 11, 2025, Aaron Judge leads the list of MLB home run predictions, according to the latest Dimers Pro simulation data.

Our MLB hitter projections for Wednesday's slate, powered by 10,000 simulations per matchup, highlight who's most likely to hit a homer today. We've listed the most dangerous bats on the slate across today's games.

MLB home run predictions today [MLB cheat sheet for June 11, 2025]

Player (Team) Home run probability
Aaron Judge (Yankees) 23.4%
Shohei Ohtani (Dodgers) 21.2%
Kyle Schwarber (Phillies) 20.5%
Cal Raleigh (Mariners) 🔒
Fernando Tatis (Padres) 🔒
Brent Rooker (Athletics) 🔒
Mike Trout (Angels) 🔒
Pete Alonso (Mets) 🔒
Logan O'Hoppe (Angels) 🔒
Jo Adell (Angels) 🔒

According to our projections, Judge tops today's list with a 23.4% chance to hit a home run. Right behind him are Shohei Ohtani (21.2%) and Kyle Schwarber (20.5%).

Cal Raleigh and Fernando Tatis are also among the top 10. To see their full probabilities, as well as projections for every player expected to have an at-bat on Wednesday, sign up for Dimers Pro.

Shohei Ohtani 2025.
Shohei Ohtani is one of the most likely MLB players to hit a home run on Wednesday, June 11, 2025.

Dimers Pro pick of the day: MLB HR prop [Wednesday, 6/11/2025]

After evaluating projected home runs, weather factors, and pitching matchups, our model has surfaced the following standout home run value bet for Wednesday.

Jazz Chisholm Jr. (Yankees) to hit a home run

Despite not being ranked in the top 10 most likely players to hit a home run today, Jazz Chisholm Jr. of the Yankees offers a strong +950 payout with BetMGM, with an edge of 7.1% according to our projections.

Set to face Kris Bubic in tonight’s Yankees-Royals matchup, this combination of above-market value and power potential makes Jr. the best HR bet on Wednesday's slate.

 

For more MLB picks and MLB predictions, sign up to Dimers Pro.

You’ll gain access to hit and RBI projections, pitcher props, and full access to our complete HR projections—perfect for building MLB parlays and round robins today

MLB schedule for today [Wednesday, June 11, 2025]

Conclusion

For June 11, 2025, our MLB home run predictions are locked in, with players like Aaron Judge, Shohei Ohtani and Kyle Schwarber projected to be among the most powerful bats in today’s games. It's Jazz Chisholm Jr. though that stands out as the best value bet, offering a 7.1% edge at +950 odds.

These insights are based on 10,000 game simulations and are designed to help you identify smarter betting opportunities. As always, gamble responsibly. If you or someone you know needs support, call 1-800-GAMBLER.

For more coverage, check out today's MLB player props and MLB best bets. Plus, stay updated with the latest MLB news, MLB betting trends and World Series odds.

Note: This article may include affiliate links. Learn how we review products and services.

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Written by
Jason Bevilacqua
Head of Content and Communities

Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.

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