Home run predictions for Blue Jays vs. Braves include Kyle Schwarber, Shohei Ohtani [6/4/2026]

Our analysis shows Schwarber leads today's MLB home run predictions with a 23.2% chance to go deep, followed by Nick Kurtz (19.8%) and Shohei Ohtani (19.7%).

Ben Rice and Jazz Chisholm are among several other sluggers to crack the top 10.

Want the full list of home run props today—including every player's HR probability for Thursday? Check out today's HR and hitter projections and sort by “To Hit HR” to see every player’s probability of going deep.

Thursday's home run picks [6/4/2026]

Dimers Pro’s 10,000-simulation model, factoring in weather and pitching matchups, reveals today’s highest-rated home run prop.

Daulton Varsho (Blue Jays) to hit a home run

• Probability: 10.6%
• Odds: +1200
• Edge: 2.9%
• Game: Blue Jays vs. Braves (7:15 PM EDT)
• Pitching matchup: Chris Sale

Though outside today’s top 10 home run projections, Toronto slugger Daulton Varsho rates as a value play at +1200 with DraftKings Sportsbook, showing a 2.9% edge.

With Chris Sale on the mound for the Braves, the data supports Varsho as one of Thursday’s strongest value spots among available home run props.

Pro users have access to all of our home run predictions today, plus hit and RBI projections, pitcher props, and more—perfect for building smarter MLB parlays and round robins.

Conclusion

For June 4, 2026, our MLB home run predictions are locked in, with sluggers like Kyle Schwarber, Nick Kurtz and Shohei Ohtani projected to be among the most powerful bats in today’s games. But it's Daulton Varsho who emerges with the day’s strongest model-backed value, supported by a 2.9% edge at +1200 odds.

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