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Read Article Today’s top 10 most likely home run hitters, plus +432 pick for Sunday [4/19/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get home run predictions today guided by expert analysis of Sunday's MLB slate.
Our MLB home run predictions for Sunday, April 19, 2026, feature Shohei Ohtani as the top projected hitter, according to Dimers Pro's latest simulation data.
Sunday's HR projections come straight from our home run predictions, built to highlight the most likely home run hitters today.
Home run predictions for April 19, 2026
See which hitters join Ohtani on today’s list — including one value pick the model rates as value at +432.
| Player (Team) | HR Projection |
|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani (Dodgers) | 27.8% |
| Nick Kurtz (Athletics) | 27.4% |
| Shea Langeliers (Athletics) | 25.0% |
| Tyler Soderstrom (Athletics) | 20.9% |
| Kyle Tucker (Dodgers) | 20.8% |
| Aaron Judge (Yankees) | 20.3% |
| Teoscar Hernandez (Dodgers) | 20.0% |
| Max Muncy (Dodgers) | 19.7% |
| Yordan Alvarez (Astros) | 19.3% |
| Kyle Schwarber (Phillies) | 18.9% |
Our analysis shows Ohtani leads today's MLB home run predictions with a 27.8% chance to go yard, followed by Nick Kurtz (27.4%) and Shea Langeliers (25.0%).
Tyler Soderstrom and Kyle Tucker are among several other sluggers to crack the top 10.
Want the full list of home run props today—including every player's HR probability for Sunday? Check out today's HR and hitter projections and sort by “To Hit HR” to see every player’s probability of going deep.
Sunday's home run picks [4/19/2026]
Dimers Pro’s 10,000-simulation model, factoring in weather and pitching matchups, reveals today’s highest-rated home run prop.
Nick Kurtz (Athletics) to hit a home run
- Probability: 26.8%
- Odds: +432
- Edge: 8.0%
- Game: White Sox vs. Athletics (4:05 PM EDT)
- Pitching matchup: Noah Schultz
Ranked among today’s top three home run projections, Chicago slugger Nick Kurtz rates as a value play at +432 with DraftKings Sportsbook, showing an 8.0% edge.
With Noah Schultz on the mound for the White Sox, the data supports Kurtz as one of Sunday’s strongest value spots among available home run props.
Pro users have access to a total of 19 home run betting edges today, plus hit and RBI projections, pitcher props, and more—perfect for building smarter MLB parlays and round robins.
Conclusion
For April 19, 2026, our MLB home run predictions are locked in, with sluggers like Shohei Ohtani, Nick Kurtz and Shea Langeliers projected to be among the most powerful bats in today’s games. Kurtz in particular emerges with the day’s strongest model-backed value, supported by a 8.0% edge at +432 odds.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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