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Home run predictions for Sunday include Aaron Judge, Michael Busch [4/12/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get home run predictions today driven by expert analysis of Sunday's MLB slate.
Our MLB home run predictions for Sunday, April 12, 2026, feature Aaron Judge as the top projected hitter, according to Dimers Pro's latest simulation data.
Sunday's HR projections pull from our proprietary home run predictions, which simulate every MLB matchup 10,000 times to reveal the most likely home run hitters today.
Home run predictions for April 12, 2026
See which hitters join Judge on today’s list — plus a long-shot pick the model rates as value at +1120.
| Player (Team) | HR Projection |
|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (Yankees) | 21.8% |
| Shohei Ohtani (Dodgers) | 20.6% |
| Giancarlo Stanton (Yankees) | 19.8% |
| Michael Busch (Cubs) | 19.8% |
| Pete Alonso (Orioles) | 19.5% |
| Kyle Schwarber (Phillies) | 19.4% |
| Seiya Suzuki (Cubs) | 18.6% |
| Jo Adell (Angels) | 18.5% |
| Eugenio Suarez (Reds) | 18.3% |
| Junior Caminero (Rays) | 18.0% |
Our analysis shows Judge leads today's MLB home run predictions with a 21.8% chance to go deep, followed by Shohei Ohtani (20.6%) and Giancarlo Stanton (19.8%).
Michael Busch and Pete Alonso are among several other sluggers to crack the top 10.
Want the full list of home run props today—including every player's HR probability for Sunday? Check out today's HR and hitter projections and sort by “To Hit HR” to see every player’s probability of going deep.
Sunday's home run picks [4/12/2026]
After running 10,000 simulations per matchup and weighing key factors like weather and pitching form, Dimers Pro’s data highlights today’s top home run prop.
Coby Mayo (Orioles) to hit a home run
- Probability: 14.8%
- Odds: +1120
- Edge: 6.6%
- Game: Giants vs. Orioles (1:35 PM EDT)
- Pitching matchup: Adrian Houser
Though outside today’s top 10 home run projections, Baltimore slugger Coby Mayo rates as a value play at +1120 with DraftKings Sportsbook, showing a 6.6% edge.
With Adrian Houser on the mound for the Giants, the data supports Mayo as one of Sunday’s strongest value spots among available home run props.
Pro users have access to a total of nine home run betting edges today, plus hit and RBI projections, pitcher props, and more—perfect for building smarter MLB parlays and round robins.
Conclusion
For April 12, 2026, our MLB home run predictions are locked in, with sluggers like Aaron Judge, Shohei Ohtani and Giancarlo Stanton projected to be among the most powerful bats in today’s games. But it's Coby Mayo who emerges with the day’s strongest model-backed value, supported by a 6.6% edge at +1120 odds.
For tips and resources on responsible wagering, visit our Responsible Gambling section.
Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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