Home run predictions for World Series include Kyle Schwarber, Bryce Harper [4/5/2026]

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Written by Jason Bevilacqua

Get home run predictions today backed by expert analysis of Sunday's MLB slate.

MLB Home Run Predictions Today.
Our home run predictions for April 5, 2026, are based on Sunday's latest data and matchups.

Our MLB home run predictions for Sunday, April 5, 2026, feature Kyle Schwarber as the top projected hitter, per Dimers Pro's latest simulation data.

Sunday's HR projections come straight from our home run predictions, which simulate every MLB matchup 10,000 times to reveal the most likely home run hitters today.

Home run predictions for April 5, 2026

See which hitters join Schwarber on today’s list — plus a long-shot pick the model rates as value at +1080.

Player (Team) HR Projection
Kyle Schwarber (Phillies) 29.0%
Aaron Judge (Yankees) 26.2%
Giancarlo Stanton (Yankees) 23.8%
Adolis Garcia (Phillies) 21.6%
Bryce Harper (Phillies) 21.4%
Cal Raleigh (Mariners) 21.3%
Nick Kurtz (Athletics) 20.6%
Shohei Ohtani (Dodgers) 20.1%
Ben Rice (Yankees) 19.7%
Shea Langeliers (Athletics) 19.4%

Our analysis shows Schwarber leads today's MLB home run predictions with a 29.0% chance to go yard, followed by Aaron Judge (26.2%) and Giancarlo Stanton (23.8%).

Adolis Garcia and Bryce Harper are among several other sluggers to rank inside the top 10.

Want the full list of home run props today—including every player's HR probability for Sunday? Check out today's HR and hitter projections and sort by “To Hit HR” to see every player’s probability of going deep.

Aaron Judge 2026.
Aaron Judge appears in our home run predictions on Sunday, April 5, 2026.

Sunday's home run picks [4/5/2026]

After running 10,000 simulations per matchup and evaluating key variables like weather and pitching form, Dimers Pro’s data highlights today’s top home run prop.

Heriberto Hernandez (Marlins) to hit a home run

Though outside today’s top 10 home run projections, Miami slugger Heriberto Hernandez rates as a value play at +1080 with DraftKings Sportsbook, showing a 2.1% edge.

Against Yankees starter Max Fried, the data supports Hernandez as one of Sunday’s strongest value spots among available home run props.

 

Pro users have access to a total of 1 home run predictions today, plus hit and RBI projections, pitcher props, and more—perfect for building smarter MLB parlays and round robins.

MLB schedule for today [Sunday, April 5, 2026]

Conclusion

For April 5, 2026, our MLB home run predictions are locked in, with sluggers like Kyle Schwarber, Aaron Judge and Giancarlo Stanton projected to be among the most powerful bats in today’s games. But it's Heriberto Hernandez who emerges with the day’s strongest model-backed value, supported by a 2.1% edge at +1080 odds.

For guidance on safer wagering habits, explore our Responsible Gambling resources.

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Written by
Jason Bevilacqua
Head of Content and Communities

Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.

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