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Home run predictions and picks: Top bet for Sunday has +500 odds [3/29/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get home run predictions today backed by expert analysis of Sunday's MLB slate.
Our MLB home run predictions for Sunday, March 29, 2026, feature Yordan Alvarez as the top projected hitter, based on Dimers Pro's latest simulation data.
Sunday's HR projections come from our home run predictions, which simulate every MLB matchup 10,000 times to reveal the most likely home run hitters today.
Home run predictions for March 29, 2026
See which hitters join Alvarez on today’s list — including one long-shot pick the model rates as value at +500.
| Player (Team) | HR Projection |
|---|---|
| Yordan Alvarez (Astros) | 22.8% |
| Cal Raleigh (Mariners) | 19.6% |
| Christian Walker (Astros) | 19.5% |
| Pete Alonso (Orioles) | 19.0% |
| Kyle Schwarber (Phillies) | 18.5% |
| Isaac Paredes (Astros) | 18.2% |
| Michael Busch (Cubs) | 18.2% |
| Eugenio Suarez (Reds) | 17.4% |
| Pete Crow-Armstrong (Cubs) | 16.7% |
| Yainer Diaz (Astros) | 16.5% |
Our analysis shows Alvarez leads today's MLB home run predictions with a 22.8% chance to go yard, followed by Cal Raleigh (19.6%) and Christian Walker (19.5%).
Pete Alonso and Kyle Schwarber are among several other sluggers to crack the top 10.
Want the full list of home run props today—including every player's HR probability for Sunday? Check out today's HR and hitter projections and sort by “To Hit HR” to see every player’s probability of going deep.
Sunday's home run picks [3/29/2026]
After running 10,000 simulations per matchup and weighing key variables like weather and pitching form, Dimers Pro’s data highlights today’s top home run prop.
Christian Walker (Astros) to hit a home run
- Probability: 19.5%
- Odds: +500
- Edge: 2.8%
- Game: Angels vs. Astros (2:10 PM EDT)
- Pitching matchup: Jack Kochanowicz
Ranked among today’s top three home run projections, Houston slugger Christian Walker rates as a value play at +500 with BetMGM, showing a 2.8% edge.
With Jack Kochanowicz on the mound for the Angels, the data supports Walker as one of Sunday’s strongest value spots among available home run props.
Pro users have access to a total of 18 home run predictions today, plus hit and RBI projections, pitcher props, and more—perfect for building smarter MLB parlays and round robins.
MLB schedule for today [Sunday, March 29, 2026]
- Royals vs. Braves (1:35PM ET, Sunday)
- Rockies vs. Marlins (1:40PM ET, Sunday)
- Pirates vs. Mets (1:40PM ET, Sunday)
- Angels vs. Astros (2:10PM ET, Sunday)
- White Sox vs. Brewers (2:10PM ET, Sunday)
Conclusion
For March 29, 2026, our MLB home run predictions are locked in, with sluggers like Yordan Alvarez, Cal Raleigh and Christian Walker projected to be among the most powerful bats in today’s games. Walker in particular emerges with the day’s strongest model-backed value, supported by a 2.8% edge at +500 odds.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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