Home run predictions for Saturday include Shohei Ohtani, Kyle Schwarber [4/25/2026]

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Written by Dave Garofolo

Get home run predictions today guided by expert analysis of Saturday's MLB slate.

MLB Home Run Predictions Today.
Our home run predictions for April 25, 2026, are based on Saturday's latest data and matchups.

Our MLB home run predictions for Saturday, April 25, 2026, feature Shohei Ohtani as the top projected hitter, according to Dimers Pro's latest simulation data.

Saturday's HR projections pull from our proprietary home run predictions, which highlight the most likely home run hitters today.

Home run predictions for April 25, 2026

See which hitters join Ohtani on today’s list — plus a long-shot pick the model rates as value at +970.

Player (Team) HR Projection
Shohei Ohtani (Dodgers) 24.3%
Aaron Judge (Yankees) 22.1%
Juan Soto (Mets) 21.4%
Kyle Schwarber (Phillies) 19.6%
Francisco Alvarez (Mets) 19.5%
Kyle Tucker (Dodgers) 18.2%
Fernando Tatis (Padres) 18.2%
Cal Raleigh (Mariners) 18.0%
Mark Vientos (Mets) 17.8%
Teoscar Hernandez (Dodgers) 17.8%

Our analysis shows Ohtani leads today's MLB home run predictions with a 24.3% chance to go deep, followed by Aaron Judge (22.1%) and Juan Soto (21.4%).

Kyle Schwarber and Francisco Alvarez are among several other sluggers to crack the top 10.

Want the full list of home run props today—including every player's HR probability for Saturday? Check out today's HR and hitter projections and sort by “To Hit HR” to see every player’s probability of going deep.

Shohei Ohtani 2026.
Shohei Ohtani features in our home run predictions on Saturday, April 25, 2026.

Saturday's home run picks [4/25/2026]

After running 10,000 simulations per matchup and assessing key variables like weather and pitching form, Dimers Pro’s data highlights today’s top home run prop.

Ronny Mauricio (Mets) to hit a home run

  • Probability: 13.5%
  • Odds: +970
  • Edge: 4.1%
  • Game: Rockies vs. Mets (4:10 PM EDT)
  • Pitching matchup: Jose Quintana

Though outside today’s top 10 home run projections, New York slugger Ronny Mauricio rates as a value play at +970 with DraftKings Sportsbook, showing a 4.1% edge.

With Jose Quintana on the mound for the Rockies, the data supports Mauricio as one of Saturday’s strongest value spots among available home run props.

 

Pro users have access to all of our home run predictions today, plus hit and RBI projections, pitcher props, and more—perfect for building smarter MLB parlays and round robins.

Conclusion

For April 25, 2026, our MLB home run predictions are locked in, with sluggers like Shohei Ohtani, Aaron Judge and Juan Soto projected to be among the most powerful bats in today’s games. But it's Ronny Mauricio who emerges with the day’s strongest model-backed value, supported by a 4.1% edge at +970 odds.

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Written by
Dave Garofolo
Content Producer

Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.

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