Jun 5, 2026
Guardians vs. Rangers prediction: Why Cleveland is favored to win Friday's MLB matchup [6/5/2026]
Read Article Home run predictions for Monday include Shohei Ohtani, Teoscar Hernandez [4/20/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get home run predictions today backed by expert analysis of Monday's MLB slate.
Our MLB home run predictions for Monday, April 20, 2026, feature Shohei Ohtani as the top projected hitter, according to Dimers Pro's latest simulation data.
Monday's HR projections come straight from our home run predictions, which simulate every MLB matchup 10,000 times to reveal the top slugging candidates today.
Home run predictions for April 20, 2026
See which hitters join Ohtani on today’s list — including one long-shot pick the model rates as value at +610.
| Player (Team) | HR Projection |
|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani (Dodgers) | 30.3% |
| Kyle Tucker (Dodgers) | 23.2% |
| Nick Kurtz (Athletics) | 22.6% |
| Teoscar Hernandez (Dodgers) | 22.1% |
| Max Muncy (Dodgers) | 21.9% |
| Ryan Ward (Dodgers) | 21.1% |
| Shea Langeliers (Athletics) | 20.9% |
| Andy Pages (Dodgers) | 19.9% |
| Kyle Schwarber (Phillies) | 18.8% |
| Cal Raleigh (Mariners) | 18.7% |
Our analysis shows Ohtani leads today's MLB home run predictions with a 30.3% chance to go yard, followed by Kyle Tucker (23.2%) and Nick Kurtz (22.6%).
Teoscar Hernandez and Max Muncy are among several other sluggers to crack the top 10.
Want the full list of home run props today—including every player's HR prediction for Monday? Check out today's HR and hitter projections and sort by “To Hit HR” to see every player’s probability of going deep.
Monday's home run picks [4/20/2026]
Dimers Pro’s 10,000-simulation model, factoring in weather and pitching matchups, surfaces today’s highest-rated home run prop.
Ryan Ward (Dodgers) to hit a home run
- Probability: 21%
- Odds: +610
- Edge: 6.9%
- Game: Dodgers vs. Rockies (8:40 PM EDT)
- Pitching matchup: Jose Quintana
Ranked among today’s top 10 home run projections, Los Angeles slugger Ryan Ward rates as a value play at +610 with DraftKings Sportsbook, showing a 6.9% edge.
With Jose Quintana on the mound for the Rockies, the data supports Ward as one of Monday’s strongest value spots among available home run props.
Pro users have access to a total of 14 home run betting edges today, plus hit and RBI projections, pitcher props, and more—perfect for building smarter MLB parlays and round robins.
Conclusion
For April 20, 2026, our MLB home run predictions are locked in, with sluggers like Shohei Ohtani, Kyle Tucker and Nick Kurtz projected to be among the most powerful bats in today’s games. But it's Ryan Ward who emerges with the day’s strongest model-backed value, supported by a 6.9% edge at +610 odds.
For guidance on safer wagering habits, explore our Responsible Gambling resources.
Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
Advertiser disclosure
