Today’s top 10 most likely home run hitters, plus +940 pick for Friday [6/5/2026]

Our analysis shows Ohtani leads today's MLB home run predictions with a 23.2% chance to go deep, followed by Kyle Schwarber (22.4%) and Hunter Goodman (18.9%).

Jake Bauers and Vladimir Guerrero are among several other sluggers to rank inside the top 10.

Want the full list of home run props today—including every player's HR probability for Friday? Check out today's HR and hitter projections and sort by “To Hit HR” to see every player’s probability of going deep.

Friday's home run picks [6/5/2026]

Dimers Pro’s 10,000-simulation model, factoring in weather and pitching matchups, reveals today’s highest-rated home run prop.

David Hamilton (Brewers) to hit a home run

• Probability: 12.5%
• Odds: +940
• Edge: 2.9%
• Game: Brewers vs. Rockies (8:40 PM EDT)
• Pitching matchup: Ryan Feltner

Though outside today’s top 10 home run projections, Milwaukee slugger David Hamilton rates as a value play at +940 with DraftKings Sportsbook, showing a 2.9% edge.

With Ryan Feltner on the mound for the Rockies, the data supports Hamilton as one of Friday’s strongest value spots among available home run props.

Pro users have access to all of our home run predictions today, plus hit and RBI projections, pitcher props, and more—perfect for building smarter MLB parlays and round robins.

Conclusion

For June 5, 2026, our MLB home run predictions are locked in, with sluggers like Shohei Ohtani, Kyle Schwarber and Hunter Goodman projected to be among the most powerful bats in today’s games. But it's David Hamilton who emerges with the day’s strongest model-backed value, supported by a 2.9% edge at +940 odds.

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