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Today’s top 10 most likely home run hitters, plus +578 pick for Friday [4/24/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get home run predictions today backed by expert analysis of Friday's MLB slate.
Our MLB home run predictions for Friday, April 24, 2026, feature Shohei Ohtani as the top projected hitter, based on Dimers Pro's latest simulation data.
Friday's HR projections come from our home run predictions, which simulate every MLB matchup 10,000 times to reveal the top home run bets today.
Home run predictions for April 24, 2026
See which hitters join Ohtani on today’s list — including one long-shot pick the model rates as value at +578.
| Player (Team) | HR Projection |
|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani (Dodgers) | 26.5% |
| Aaron Judge (Yankees) | 23.6% |
| Giancarlo Stanton (Yankees) | 21.1% |
| Cal Raleigh (Mariners) | 20.3% |
| Kyle Tucker (Dodgers) | 19.7% |
| Teoscar Hernandez (Dodgers) | 19.3% |
| Pete Alonso (Orioles) | 19.0% |
| Juan Soto (Mets) | 18.9% |
| Max Muncy (Dodgers) | 18.7% |
| Matt Olson (Braves) | 18.6% |
Our analysis shows Ohtani leads today's MLB home run predictions with a 26.5% chance to go yard, followed by Aaron Judge (23.6%) and Giancarlo Stanton (21.1%).
Cal Raleigh and Kyle Tucker are among several other sluggers to crack the top 10.
Want the full list of home run props today—including every player's HR probability for Friday? Check out today's HR and hitter projections and sort by “To Hit HR” to see every player’s probability of going deep.
Friday's home run picks [4/24/2026]
After running 10,000 simulations per matchup and assessing key factors like weather and pitching form, Dimers Pro’s data highlights today’s top home run prop.
Kyle Tucker (Dodgers) to hit a home run
- Probability: 20.2%
- Odds: +578
- Edge: 5.5%
- Game: Cubs vs. Dodgers (10:15 PM EDT)
- Pitching matchup: Jameson Taillon
Ranked among today’s top five home run projections, Los Angeles slugger Kyle Tucker rates as a value play at +578 with DraftKings Sportsbook, showing a 5.5% edge.
Against Cubs starter Jameson Taillon, the data supports Tucker as one of Friday’s strongest value spots among available home run props.
Pro users have access to a total of 10 home run betting edges today, plus hit and RBI projections, pitcher props, and more—perfect for building smarter MLB parlays and round robins.
Conclusion
For April 24, 2026, our MLB home run predictions are locked in, with sluggers like Shohei Ohtani, Aaron Judge and Giancarlo Stanton projected to be among the most powerful bats in today’s games. But it's Kyle Tucker who emerges with the day’s strongest model-backed value, supported by a 5.5% edge at +578 odds.
For guidance on safer wagering habits, explore our Responsible Gambling resources.
Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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