MLB Best Bets: Three "Sweet Spot" plays for Friday, May 1

The latest addition to Dimers' MLB betting tools continues to deliver, identifying positive season-long ROI in every market that's turned a profit so far this MLB season, including batter hits, pitcher outs, RBI props and more.

Between both player props and game lines, the MLB Sweet Spot signal is designed to show you precisely which markets are returning a profit, unlocking a whole new level of sportsbetting with one purpose: to help you bet smarter and beat the sportsbooks.

Another addition to our already improved MLB props model for the 2026 season, Dimers Pro users now have yet another advantage when it comes to betting on baseball.

Bet on Dimers' MLB "Sweet Spot" with a free trial

There are over 40 total MLB player props and best MLB bets identified by Dimers Pro today, with a handful landing in the "Sweet Spot" threshold, featuring props in three different markets today: hits, pitcher outs and pitcher strikeouts, and one Moneyline edge that's returning a whopping 66.1% ROI across 33 bets this season.

When you see this signal, it means our model is dialed in.To unlock unlimited access to every Sweet Spot bet across all sports, including our profitable MLB and NHL game lines, you’ll need a Dimers Pro subscription.

Pro Tip: Not a member yet? You can test the waters at no cost with a free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro right now. Get every Sweet Spot signal for the next 72 hours on us!

Dimers "Sweet Spot" MLB Picks on Friday, May 1

MLB prop bet: Jorge Mateo (Braves) to get a hit (-166)

Matchup: Braves vs. Rockies (8:40pm ET)

For the first Sweet Spot play of the day, we'll look at our hitter props, with bets in the "to get a hit" market returning a favorable 10.9% ROI across 30 bets in this edge range.

Mateo's 69.1% probability to pick up a knock against the Rockies would be fair at -225 odds, meaning while this play comes with some juice, it's still a much better price than it should be.

The Braves SS plays sparingly, often in pinch-hit situations or in the bottom of the order, but he's slashing .267/.313/.400 through 30 AB so far this season. If he starts again, even at the bottom of the order, he's got chances for extra at-bats tonight. Rockies starter Jose Quintana projects for 8.27 hits and 4.25 ER allowed, the most of any pitcher on the slate.

MLB prop bet: J.T. Ginn (A's) over 3.5 strikeouts (-130)

Matchup: Guardians vs. A's (9:40pm ET)

Next, we'll move to pitcher props with our highest ROI market featured today, strikeouts.

The A's will send RHP J.T. Ginn to the mound vs. the Guardians as we look for him to cash this prop for the third time this season.

The A's hurler get s a59.4% probability to clear 3,5 Ks, as well as a projection of 4.5 from our model, with pitcher strikeout props returning a 17.2% ROI so far this year.

Ginn's chase and whiff rates are around league average, but it doesn't always translate to punchouts as his overall K rate is in the 29th percentile among qualified starters. Tonight, he'll get a Guardians lineup that hits just .219 vs. right-handers, with 189 strikeouts (ranked 13th).

He primarily throws a sinker, especially against right-handed hitters, a pitch the Guardians lineup has not hit well this season.

MLB prop bet: Brady Singer (Reds) under 16.5 outs recorded (+106)

Matchup: Reds vs. Pirates (6:45pm ET)

We'll close out today's look at Sweet Spots with Brady Singer vs. the Pirates.

This market has returned the lowest ROI out of the featured bets in this article; however, it's increased nearly 4% since Wednesday, up to 9.7% on the season following a 3-0 sweep of props in the market, including a plus-money win on Tarik Skubal.

Singer gets a 54.8% probability to go under 16.5 outs (or under 5.2 innings) on Friday night. Singer has gone under in 4 of 6 starts so far this season, twice failing to reach the 5th inning. His projection of 14.9 outs recorded suggests he'll have trouble doing so again.

He has little swing-and-miss capability, gives up a lot of hard-hit balls and his opponent xBA is in the bottom 11th-percentile of MLB. If the Pirates can get to Singer early, they could chase him from the game

Dimers' MLB betting resources for the 2026 season

• MLB Game Predictions: Our data-backed previews for every MLB game, every day.
• MLB Best Bets: Our Top Picks for every game.
• World Series Odds: Who will win it all?
• Best MLB Props: Player edges and projections from our predictive analytics model
• MLB Betting News: The latest promos, storylines and more around the league

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