MLB picks today: Sunday's MLB best bets include Diamondbacks vs. Rockies play [5/17/2026]

Diamondbacks vs. Rockies over 10.5 runs (-102)

• Edge: 5.9%
• Probability: 56.4%
• Matchup: Diamondbacks vs. Rockies (3:10PM ET, Sunday)

Our model has identified value on over 10.5 runs in Diamondbacks vs. Rockies at -102 odds. A 56.4% probability produces an edge of 5.9%, making this the strongest play for today's MLB slate.

Brewers vs. Twins over 7.5 runs (-117)

• Edge: 5.8%
• Probability: 59.8%
• Matchup: Brewers vs. Twins (2:10PM ET, Sunday)

Brewers vs. Twins over 7.5 runs carries a 5.8% edge and a probability of 59.8% at -117 odds, according to our model.

Red Sox vs. Braves over 8.5 runs (-104)

• Edge: 5.0%
• Probability: 56%
• Matchup: Red Sox vs. Braves (1:35PM ET, Sunday)

Red Sox vs. Braves over 8.5 runs at -104 odds shows a 5.0% edge, supported by a 56% probability in simulations.

Rangers vs. Astros over 8.5 runs (+115)

• Edge: 5.0%
• Probability: 51.5%
• Matchup: Rangers vs. Astros (2:10PM ET, Sunday)

A 5.0% edge and 51.5% probability make Rangers vs. Astros over 8.5 runs at a value play in the Rangers vs. Astros matchup, per our model.

Reds vs. Guardians over 8.5 runs (+102)

• Edge: 4.5%
• Probability: 54%
• Matchup: Reds vs. Guardians (1:40PM ET, Sunday)

Reds vs. Guardians over 8.5 runs at +102 odds presents a 4.5% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 54%.

Blue Jays vs. Tigers over 7.5 runs (-108)

• Edge: 4.2%
• Probability: 56.2%
• Matchup: Blue Jays vs. Tigers (1:40PM ET, Sunday)

Our model finds value on over 7.5 runs in Blue Jays vs. Tigers at -108 odds, supported by an edge of 4.2%.

Padres vs. Mariners over 7.5 runs (-102)

• Edge: 3.8%
• Probability: 54.3%
• Matchup: Padres vs. Mariners (7:20PM ET, Sunday)

Our model has uncovered value on Padres vs. Mariners over 7.5 runs at -102 odds. A 54.3% probability produces a 3.8% edge, making this a strong play for today's MLB action.

Cubs vs. White Sox over 8.5 runs (+102)

• Edge: 3.7%
• Probability: 53.2%
• Matchup: Cubs vs. White Sox (2:10PM ET, Sunday)

A 3.7% edge on a 53.2% probability makes over 8.5 runs at +102 odds a solid value play in today's Cubs vs. White Sox matchup.

Dodgers vs. Angels over 9.5 runs (+115)

• Edge: 3.1%
• Probability: 49.6%
• Matchup: Dodgers vs. Angels (4:07PM ET, Sunday)

Our model projects value on over 9.5 runs at +115 odds. A 49.6% probability produces a 3.1% edge, making the over the favorable side in Saturday’s matchup.

Marlins vs. Rays over 7.5 runs (+117)

• Edge: 2.7%
• Probability: 48.7%
• Matchup: Marlins vs. Rays (12:15PM ET, Sunday)

Rounding out our top 10 bets, Marlins vs. Rays over 7.5 runs at +117 odds shows a 48.7% probability and a 2.7% edge.

MLB best bets summary: Sunday, 5/17/2026

As of 1:03AM ET, here are our top MLB bets by edge recommended by our model:

List of upcoming MLB games to bet on [5/17/2026]

• Marlins vs. Rays (12:15PM ET, Sunday)
• Phillies vs. Pirates (1:35PM ET, Sunday)
• Orioles vs. Nationals (1:35PM ET, Sunday)
• Red Sox vs. Braves (1:35PM ET, Sunday)
• Reds vs. Guardians (1:40PM ET, Sunday)
• Blue Jays vs. Tigers (1:40PM ET, Sunday)
• Yankees vs. Mets (1:40PM ET, Sunday)
• Cubs vs. White Sox (2:10PM ET, Sunday)
• Rangers vs. Astros (2:10PM ET, Sunday)
• Brewers vs. Twins (2:10PM ET, Sunday)
• Royals vs. Cardinals (2:15PM ET, Sunday)
• D-Backs vs. Rockies (3:10PM ET, Sunday)
• Giants vs. Athletics (4:05PM ET, Sunday)
• Dodgers vs. Angels (4:07PM ET, Sunday)
• Padres vs. Mariners (7:20PM ET, Sunday)

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Conclusion

Our MLB best bets are locked and loaded for May 17, 2026, featuring plays such as over 10.5 runs in the Diamondbacks vs. Rockies matchup and over 7.5 runs in the Brewers vs. Twins matchup. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.

Our predictions are grounded in current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our Responsible Gambling hub.

All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.