MLB picks today: Sunday's MLB best bets include Pirates vs. Cubs play [4/12/2026]

Pirates vs. Cubs under 12.5 runs (-112)

• Edge: 4.3%
• Probability: 57.1%
• Matchup: Pirates vs. Cubs (2:20PM ET, Sunday)

Our model has identified value on under 12.5 runs in Pirates vs. Cubs at -112 odds. A 57.1% probability produces an edge of 4.3%, making this the strongest play for today's MLB slate.

Angels vs. Reds over 8.5 runs (-105)

• Edge: 4.2%
• Probability: 55.5%
• Matchup: Angels vs. Reds (1:40PM ET, Sunday)

Angels vs. Reds over 8.5 runs carries a 4.2% edge and a probability of 55.5% at -105 odds, according to our model.

Diamondbacks vs. Phillies over 8 runs (-115)

• Edge: 3.7%
• Probability: 57.2%
• Matchup: Diamondbacks vs. Phillies (1:35PM ET, Sunday)

Diamondbacks vs. Phillies over 8 runs at -115 odds shows a 3.7% edge, supported by a 57.2% probability in simulations.

Braves -1.5 (+118)

• Edge: 3.4%
• Probability: 49.3%
• Matchup: Guardians vs. Braves (7:20PM ET, Sunday)

A 3.4% edge and 49.3% probability make Braves -1.5 vs. Guardians at a value play in the Guardians vs. Braves matchup, per our model.

Guardians vs. Braves over 7 runs (-118)

• Edge: 3.3%
• Probability: 57.5%
• Matchup: Guardians vs. Braves (7:20PM ET, Sunday)

Guardians vs. Braves over 7 runs at -118 odds presents a 3.3% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 57.5%.

Athletics vs. Mets over 7 runs (-118)

• Edge: 3.0%
• Probability: 57.1%
• Matchup: Athletics vs. Mets (1:40PM ET, Sunday)

Our model finds value on over 7 runs in Athletics vs. Mets at -118 odds, supported by an edge of 3.0%.

Marlins vs. Tigers over 6.5 runs (+100)

• Edge: 2.6%
• Probability: 52.6%
• Matchup: Marlins vs. Tigers (1:40PM ET, Sunday)

Our model has uncovered value on Marlins vs. Tigers over 6.5 runs at +100 odds. A 52.6% probability produces a 2.6% edge, making this a strong play for today's MLB action.

Rockies vs. Padres over 7.5 runs (-115)

• Edge: 2.1%
• Probability: 55.6%
• Matchup: Rockies vs. Padres (4:10PM ET, Sunday)

A 2.1% edge on a 55.6% probability makes over 7.5 runs at -115 odds a solid value play in today's Rockies vs. Padres matchup.

MLB best bets summary: Sunday, 4/12/2026

As of 12:32PM ET, here are our top MLB bets by edge recommended by our model:

Matchup	Bet	Odds	Edge	Probability
Pirates vs. Cubs	Under 12.5 Runs	-112 @ DraftKings	4.3%	57.1%
Angels vs. Reds	Over 8.5 Runs	-105 @ FanDuel	4.2%	55.5%
Diamondbacks vs. Phillies	Over 8 Runs	-115 @ BetMGM	3.7%	57.2%
Guardians vs. Braves	Braves -1.5	+118 @ BetMGM	3.4%	49.3%
Guardians vs. Braves	Over 7 Runs	-118 @ BetMGM	3.3%	57.5%
Athletics vs. Mets	Over 7 Runs	-118 @ DraftKings	3.0%	57.1%
Marlins vs. Tigers	Over 6.5 Runs	+100 @ DraftKings	2.6%	52.6%
Rockies vs. Padres	Over 7.5 Runs	-115 @ FanDuel	2.1%	55.6%

List of upcoming MLB games to bet on [4/12/2026]

• Giants vs. Orioles (1:35PM ET, Sunday)
• D-Backs vs. Phillies (1:35PM ET, Sunday)
• Twins vs. Blue Jays (1:37PM ET, Sunday)
• Angels vs. Reds (1:40PM ET, Sunday)
• Athletics vs. Mets (1:40PM ET, Sunday)
• Marlins vs. Tigers (1:40PM ET, Sunday)
• Yankees vs. Rays (1:40PM ET, Sunday)
• Nationals vs. Brewers (2:10PM ET, Sunday)
• White Sox vs. Royals (2:10PM ET, Sunday)
• Red Sox vs. Cardinals (2:15PM ET, Sunday)
• Pirates vs. Cubs (2:20PM ET, Sunday)
• Rockies vs. Padres (4:10PM ET, Sunday)
• Rangers vs. Dodgers (4:10PM ET, Sunday)
• Astros vs. Mariners (4:10PM ET, Sunday)
• Guardians vs. Braves (7:20PM ET, Sunday)

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Conclusion

Our MLB best bets are locked and loaded for April 12, 2026, featuring plays such as under 12.5 runs in the Pirates vs. Cubs matchup and over 8.5 runs in the Angels vs. Reds matchup. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.

Our predictions are rooted in current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our Responsible Gambling hub.

All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.

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