MLB picks today: Monday's MLB best bets include Diamondbacks vs. Mets play [4/6/2026]

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Written by Jason Bevilacqua

Get MLB picks today and best bets for Monday, April 6, 2026.

MLB Best Bets.
These MLB betting picks for April 6, 2026, are based on the latest odds and probabilities for Monday's games.

Today’s MLB picks for April 06, 2026 are here, with Diamondbacks vs. Mets and Orioles vs. White Sox among the top plays identified by our model across Monday’s MLB action.

Dimers’ predictive analytics engine runs 24/7, going over the latest baseball odds to discover genuine betting edges. The result? Data-backed picks that help Dimers Pro members make smarter decisions.

List of MLB best bets tonight [4/6, updated 9:37PM ET]

Below, you’ll find today’s top 10 baseball bets, ranked by edge for Monday, April 6, 2026.

Diamondbacks vs. Mets over 7 runs (+100)

Our model has identified value on over 7 runs in Diamondbacks vs. Mets at +100 odds. A 57.7% probability produces an edge of 7.7%, making this the strongest play for today's MLB slate.

 

Orioles vs. White Sox over 7 runs (-105)

Orioles vs. White Sox over 7 runs carries a 7.0% edge and a probability of 58.3% at -105 odds, according to our model.

 

Royals vs. Guardians over 7 runs (+100)

Royals vs. Guardians over 7 runs at +100 odds shows a 6.7% edge, supported by a 56.7% probability in simulations.

 

Astros vs. Rockies over 10.5 runs (-108)

A 5.5% edge and 57.5% probability make Astros vs. Rockies over 10.5 runs at a value play in the Astros vs. Rockies matchup, per our model.

 

Brewers vs. Red Sox over 7 runs (-104)

Brewers vs. Red Sox over 7 runs at -104 odds presents a 5.0% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 56%.

 

Athletics vs. Yankees over 8.5 runs (-102)

Our model finds value on over 8.5 runs in Athletics vs. Yankees at -102 odds, supported by an edge of 4.7%.

 

Tigers vs. Twins over 6.5 runs (-122)

Our model has uncovered value on Tigers vs. Twins over 6.5 runs at -122 odds. A 59.1% probability produces a 4.1% edge, making this a strong play for today's MLB action.

 

Dodgers vs. Blue Jays over 7.5 runs (-115)

A 4.1% edge on a 57.6% probability makes over 7.5 runs at -115 odds a solid value play in today's Dodgers vs. Blue Jays matchup.

 

Padres vs. Pirates over 6.5 runs (-110)

Our model projects value on over 6.5 runs at -110 odds. A 55.2% probability produces a 2.8% edge, making the over the favorable side in Saturday’s matchup.

 

Cardinals vs. Nationals over 7.5 runs (-110)

Rounding out our top 10 bets, Cardinals vs. Nationals over 7.5 runs at -110 odds shows a 55.1% probability and a 2.7% edge.

 

MLB best bets summary: Monday, 4/6/2026

As of 9:37PM ET, here are our top MLB bets by edge recommended by our model:

Matchup Bet Odds Edge Probability
Diamondbacks vs. Mets Over 7 Runs +100 @ FanDuel 7.7% 57.7%
Orioles vs. White Sox Over 7 Runs -105 @ FanDuel 7.0% 58.3%
Royals vs. Guardians Over 7 Runs +100 @ DraftKings 6.7% 56.7%
Astros vs. Rockies Over 10.5 Runs -108 @ DraftKings 5.5% 57.5%
Brewers vs. Red Sox Over 7 Runs -104 @ FanDuel 5.0% 56%
Athletics vs. Yankees Over 8.5 Runs -102 @ DraftKings 4.7% 55.2%
Tigers vs. Twins Over 6.5 Runs -122 @ FanDuel 4.1% 59.1%
Dodgers vs. Blue Jays Over 7.5 Runs -115 @ BetMGM 4.1% 57.6%
Padres vs. Pirates Over 6.5 Runs -110 @ BetMGM 2.8% 55.2%
Cardinals vs. Nationals Over 7.5 Runs -110 @ BetMGM 2.7% 55.1%
 

List of upcoming MLB games to bet on [4/6/2026]

Using Dimebot for betting research

Learn how Dimebot helps you quickly access projections, trends, and explanations—without digging through multiple tools or pages.

Conclusion

Our MLB best bets are locked and loaded for April 6, 2026, featuring plays such as over 7 runs in the Diamondbacks vs. Mets matchup and over 7 runs in the Orioles vs. White Sox matchup. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.

Our predictions are sourced from current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our Responsible Gambling hub.

All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.

Note: Clicking links to our sportsbook partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

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Written by
Jason Bevilacqua
Head of Content and Communities

Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.

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