MLB picks today: Friday's MLB best bets include Giants vs. Mariners play [7/17/2026]
Get MLB picks today and best bets for Friday, July 17, 2026.
Today’s MLB picks for July 17, 2026 are here, with Giants vs. Mariners and Pirates vs. Guardians among the top plays identified by our model across Friday’s MLB action.
Dimers’ predictive analytics engine runs 24/7, going over the latest baseball odds to uncover genuine betting edges. The result? Data-backed picks that help Dimers Pro members make smarter decisions.
List of MLB best bets tonight [7/17, updated 4:12AM ET]
Below, you’ll find today’s top 10 baseball bets, ranked by edge for Friday, July 17, 2026.
Giants vs. Mariners Over 7.5 runs (+138)
- Edge: 6.8%
- Probability: 48.8%
- Matchup: Giants vs. Mariners (10:10PM ET)
Our model has identified value on Over 7.5 runs in Giants vs. Mariners at +138 odds. A 48.8% probability produces an edge of 6.8%, making this the strongest play for today's MLB slate.
Pirates vs. Guardians Over 7.5 runs (+100)
- Edge: 5.6%
- Probability: 55.6%
- Matchup: Pirates vs. Guardians (7:10PM ET)
Pirates vs. Guardians over 7.5 runs carries a 5.6% edge and a probability of 55.6% at +100 odds, according to our model.
White Sox vs. Blue Jays Over 8.5 runs (+100)
- Edge: 5.1%
- Probability: 55.1%
- Matchup: White Sox vs. Blue Jays (7:15PM ET)
White Sox vs. Blue Jays Over 8.5 runs at +100 odds shows a 5.1% edge, supported by a 55.1% probability in simulations.
Rangers vs. Braves over 8.5 runs (+113)
- Edge: 4.7%
- Probability: 51.7%
- Matchup: Rangers vs. Braves (7:15PM ET)
A 4.7% edge and 51.7% probability make Rangers vs. Braves over 8.5 runs a value play in the Rangers vs. Braves matchup, per our model.
Orioles vs. Astros Over 8.5 runs (-104)
- Edge: 4.5%
- Probability: 55.5%
- Matchup: Orioles vs. Astros (8:10PM ET)
Orioles vs. Astros Over 8.5 runs at -104 odds presents a 4.5% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 55.5%.
Dodgers vs. Yankees Over 9.5 runs (+113)
- Edge: 4.4%
- Probability: 51.4%
- Matchup: Dodgers vs. Yankees (7:05PM ET)
Our model finds value on Over 9.5 runs in Dodgers vs. Yankees at +113 odds, supported by an edge of 4.4%.
Athletics ML (+104)
- Edge: 4.0%
- Probability: 52.9%
- Matchup: Nationals vs. Athletics (9:40PM ET)
Our model has uncovered value on Nationals-Athletics to finish as a tie after 90 minutes at +104 odds. A 52.9% probability produces a 4.0% edge, making this a strong play for today's MLB action.
Braves -1.5 (+113)
- Edge: 3.9%
- Probability: 50.9%
- Matchup: Rangers vs. Braves (7:15PM ET)
A 3.9% edge on a 50.9% probability makes Braves -1.5 at +113 odds a solid value play in today's Rangers vs. Braves matchup.
Tigers vs. AngelsOver 8.5 runs (+113)
- Edge: 2.7%
- Probability: 49.6%
- Matchup: Tigers vs. Angels (9:38PM ET)
Our model projects value on Over 8.5 runs at +113 odds. A 49.6% probability produces a 2.7% edge, making the Over the favorable side in today's matchup.
Rockies +1.5 (-150)
- Edge: 2.7%
- Probability: 62.7%
- Matchup: Reds vs. Rockies (8:40PM ET)
Rounding out our top 10 bets, Rockies +1.5 at -150 odds shows a 62.7% probability and a 2.7% edge.
MLB best bets summary: Friday, 7/17/2026
As of 4:12AM ET, here are our top MLB bets by edge recommended by our model:
| Matchup | Bet | Odds | Edge | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Giants vs. Mariners | Over 7.5 runs | +138 @ Polymarket | 6.8% | 48.8% |
| Pirates vs. Guardians | Over 7.5 runs | +100 @ Novig | 5.6% | 55.6% |
| White Sox vs. Blue Jays | Over 8.5 Runs | +100 @ Polymarket | 5.1% | 55.1% |
| Rangers vs. Braves | Over 8.5 runs | +113 @ Polymarket | 4.7% | 51.7% |
| Orioles vs. Astros | Over 8.5 Runs | -104 @ Polymarket | 4.5% | 55.5% |
| Dodgers vs. Yankees | Over 9.5 Runs | +113 @ Polymarket | 4.4% | 51.4% |
| Nationals vs. Athletics | Athletics ML | +104 @ Polymarket | 4.0% | 52.9% |
| Rangers vs. Braves | Braves -1.5 | +113 @ Polymarket | 3.9% | 50.9% |
| Tigers vs. Angels | Over 8.5 Runs | +113 @ Polymarket | 2.7% | 49.6% |
| Reds vs. Rockies | Rockies +1.5 | -150 @ Polymarket | 2.7% | 62.7% |
List of upcoming MLB games to bet on [7/17/2026]
- Dodgers vs. Yankees (7:05PM ET, Friday)
- Pirates vs. Guardians (7:10PM ET, Friday)
- White Sox vs. Blue Jays (7:15PM ET, Friday)
- Rangers vs. Braves (7:15PM ET, Friday)
- Marlins vs. Brewers (7:40PM ET, Friday)
- Twins vs. Cubs (8:05PM ET, Friday)
- Padres vs. Royals (8:10PM ET, Friday)
- Orioles vs. Astros (8:10PM ET, Friday)
- Reds vs. Rockies (8:40PM ET, Friday)
- Tigers vs. Angels (9:38PM ET, Friday)
- Nationals vs. Athletics (9:40PM ET, Friday)
- Cardinals vs. D-Backs (9:40PM ET, Friday)
- Giants vs. Mariners (10:10PM ET, Friday)
Conclusion
Our MLB best bets are locked and loaded for July 17, 2026, featuring plays such as over 7.5 runs in the Giants vs. Mariners matchup and over 7.5 runs in the Pirates vs. Guardians matchup. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.
Our predictions are sourced from current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our Responsible Gambling hub.
All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
