MLB Best Bets and Parlay Today: Three Moneylines to bet on Saturday, May 2

MLB bet: Diamondbacks win (+154)

Game: Diamondbacks vs. Cubs

Time: 2:20 PM ET

We start with a play in the early game of the day, and one we cashed a Sweet Spot in on Friday with our play on the Total.

Moneylines that fall in the Sweet Spot have been our most profitable market to date, returning 66.5% ROI over 34 bets above a 2% edge, our minimum required to be a recommended "best bet."

Arizona draws a 42.6% probability of an upset over the Cubs today, which would make their fair odds at +135, giving us a notable edge at their +154 price on Novig, however if you can't access Novig, any odds at +135 or better would still be a fair or value play.

The D-Backs will send RHP Ryne Nelson to the mound who has struggled particularly in his past two starts, giving up 6 and 8 ER, but we project for a bounce back with 2.7 ER.

Chicago will start LHP Shota Imanaga, who's been very good so far this season, but Arizona hits lefties better than anyone in MLB with a .297 AVG and .822 OPS, suggesting this matchup is more evenly matched than the pitcher ERAs appear, and a bet worth making on the value.

Arizona also gets a Sweet Spot edge to cover +1.5, at longer odds and a smaller but still very profitable 25.1% ROI.

Dimer's Sweet Spot picks in DBacks-Cubs.

MLB bet: Athletics win (-127)

Game: Athletics vs. Guardians

Time: 4:05 PM ET

We move to the late afternoon window in an AL clash where our model finds an edge on the favored A's, with a 59.1% win probability, a 3.1% edge and landing right in that profitable Sweet Spot with a 66.5% ROI.

It's no surprise to see our model with an edge on the A's - they were one of our best picks to clear their preseason win total, currently at 17-15 and 1st place in the AL West.

The pitching matchup is one that could go either way, with the Guardians sending RHP Slade Cecconi (0-4, 6.23 ERA) to the mound against the A's LHP Jacob Lopez (2-1, 5.84 ERA).

Wins and losses aren't exclusively a pitcher stat, but with 4+ ER in 4 of 6 starts and little run support from the Guardians, Cleveland has lost all six starts by Cecconi. He projects to allow the most earned runs by any pitcher today at 3.5, and has a home run problem with 6 allowed so far, correlating with three A's in our Top 5 HR probabilities of the day.

For those looking to get better odds but a lower probability, the A's also get an edge to cover -1.5. The Guardians are 1-5 at covering +1.5 in Cecconi's starts.

Our best bets in A's vs. Guardians.

MLB bet: Mariners win (-133)

Game: Mariners vs. Royals

Time: 9:40 PM ET

We go all the way to the latest game of the night as we back the Mariners, who are heating up after a slow start, against the Royals who are trying to climb out of a similar hole.

Seattle has dropped just 2 of its past 8 games, including last night vs. the Royals, after a surprisingly poor 1st inning by Seattle starter Bryan Woo.

Tonight, they send RHP Emerson Hancock (2-1, 2.86 ERA) up against old head RHP Seth Lugo (1-1, 2.63 ERA), both off to very solid starts this year. Both teams are hitting righties at league average, but a look at our pitcher projections shows Hancock at just over 2.0 ER, the fourth-lowest on the slate and just 4.1 hits allowed, compared to 2.5 ER and 5.5 hits for Lugo.

Seattle's been much better at home this year at 10-8, while the Royals' Friday night win was just their fourth on the road this year.

Like the other bets, you can get an edge on Seattle to cover -1.5 as well, at a lower probability but substantial plus-money odds of +165.

The top value picks in Mariners vs. Royals.

Two ways to bet on the Sweet Spot

Bettors looking for a potentially lucrative payout can roll the three Sweet Spot bets above into a single +609 parlay, where a $25 wager would return $152.25 in profit based on the odds at FanDuel Sportsbook.

However, each of these bets comes with its own value and is recommended as a straight wager for the most long-term profitability. This way, if just two of the three bets hit, you'll still walk away with some profit.

For the best of both worlds, consider allocating a small portion of your unit size as a side wager for the parlay alongside the straight bets, rather than investing completely into an all-or-nothing parlay.

Responsible gambling

Remember to please gamble responsibly. If you sense that you're taking your luck too far, know when to call it quits and don't be afraid to seek assistance. Keep in mind that gambling is all about having a fantastic experience! If you or someone you know is grappling with gambling issues, reach out to 1-800-GAMBLER for crisis counseling and support.