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Missouri State vs. Texas prediction: Why Texas is favored to win women's March Madness First Round matchup [3/20/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Missouri State vs Texas predictions for college basketball Friday.
Women's college basketball action continues on Friday at 4:07 PM ET as Missouri State squares off with Texas at Moody Center.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' new women's basketball model predicts Texas as the most likely winner of the Missouri State vs. Texas game.
This article offers a closer look at Friday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Missouri State vs. Texas prediction: Who will win and advance to the Second Round?
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Friday's NCAAW Tournament game between Missouri State and Texas 10,000 times as part of our women's college basketball predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model currently gives Texas a 99% chance of defeating Missouri State.
According to our model, the 135.5-point over/under has a 53% chance of staying under.
Missouri State vs. Texas odds
We have researched the best women's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Missouri State | Texas |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +45.5 (-110) | -45.5 (-110) |
| Total | o135.5 (-110) | u135.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Missouri State vs. Texas picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Missouri State +45.5 | -110 |
| Total | Under 135.5 | -110 |
According to our women's college basketball best bets, the top play to make on this game is Missouri State +45.5.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Missouri State vs. Texas game-day updates and essential details
Friday's women's basketball action between Texas and Missouri State at Moody Center is scheduled to begin at 4:07 PM ET.
- Who: Missouri State vs. Texas
- Date: Friday, March 20, 2026
- Time: 4:07 PM ET/1:07PM PT
- Venue: Moody Center
- March Madness stage: First Round
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Conclusion
We predict Texas, with a 99% win probability, will likely beat Missouri State this women's March Madness First Round matchup.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Missouri State vs. Texas insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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