Missouri State vs. Liberty prediction: Liberty favored to win men's college basketball matchup [3/11/2026]

Men's college basketball action continues on Wednesday at 6:30 PM ET as Missouri State locks horns with Liberty in men's college basketball action at Von Braun Center.

Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' proven college basketball model predicts Liberty as the most likely winner of the Missouri State vs. Liberty game.

This article offers a closer look at Wednesday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.

Missouri State vs. Liberty prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Wednesday's NCAA basketball matchup between Missouri State and Liberty 10,000 times as part of our men's college basketball predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently gives Liberty a 68% chance of beating Missouri State. Our predicted final score has Liberty winning 73-69.

According to our model, Missouri State (+5.5) has a 53% chance of covering the spread, while the 142.5-point over/under has a 52% chance of going over.

Missouri State vs. Liberty odds

We have sourced the best men's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Missouri State	Liberty
Spread	+5.5 (-114)	-5.5 (-106)
Moneyline	+190	-225
Total	o142.5 (-105)	u142.5 (-110)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Missouri State vs. Liberty picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Spread	Missouri State +5.5	-114
Moneyline	Liberty	-225
Total	Over 142.5	-105

According to our men's college basketball best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 142.5 total points.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Missouri State vs. Liberty game-day updates and essential details

Wednesday's men's college basketball matchup between Liberty and Missouri State at Von Braun Center is scheduled to commence at 6:30 PM ET.

• Who: Missouri State vs. Liberty
• Date: Wednesday, March 11, 2026
• Time: 6:30 PM ET/3:30PM PT
• Venue: Von Braun Center

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Conclusion

We predict Liberty, with a 68% win probability, will likely beat Missouri State on Wednesday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Missouri State vs. Liberty insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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