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Mississippi State vs. Texas prediction: Why Texas is favored to win NCAAW matchup [2/22/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Mississippi State vs Texas predictions for college basketball Sunday.
Texas will take on Mississippi State in women's college basketball action at Moody Center on Sunday, commencing at 2:00 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' new women's basketball model predicts Texas as the most likely winner of the Mississippi State vs. Texas game.
This article offers further insights into Sunday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Mississippi State vs. Texas prediction: Who will win?
Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's women's basketball game between Mississippi State and Texas 10,000 times as part of our women's college basketball predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model gives Texas a 99% chance of beating Mississippi State.
According to our model, the 143.5-point over/under has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
Mississippi State vs. Texas odds
We have researched the best women's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Mississippi State | Texas |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +26.5 (-110) | -26.5 (-110) |
| Moneyline | +2500 | -50000 |
| Total | o143.5 (-110) | u143.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Mississippi State vs. Texas picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Mississippi State +26.5 | -110 |
| Moneyline | Texas | -50000 |
| Total | Under 143.5 | -110 |
According to our best women's college basketball bets, the top play to make on this game is Texas to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Mississippi State vs. Texas game-day updates and essential details
Sunday's women's basketball action between Texas and Mississippi State at Moody Center is scheduled to begin at 2:00 PM ET.
- Who: Mississippi State vs. Texas
- Date: Sunday, February 22, 2026
- Time: 2:00 PM ET/11:00AM PT
- Venue: Moody Center
Conclusion
We predict Texas, with a 99% win probability, will likely beat Mississippi State on Sunday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Mississippi State vs. Texas insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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