Mississippi State vs. Tennessee prediction: Why Tennessee is favored to win women's college basketball matchup [1/29/2026]

Tennessee will take on Mississippi State in women's college basketball action at Thompson-Boling Arena on Thursday, starting at 6:30 PM ET.

The championship matchup pairs two 14–3 teams coming off sharply contrasting conference title games, with New England advancing through a low-scoring, snow-filled AFC Championship win over Denver and Seattle earning its place after a 31–27 NFC Championship thriller against the Rams.

The clash also spotlights two offensive focal points, with Drake Maye guiding New England through a composed, run-focused AFC title performance and Jaxon Smith-Njigba entering as Seattle’s primary playmaker following a 153-yard, one-touchdown outing in the NFC Championship.

Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' new women's basketball model predicts Tennessee as the most likely winner of the Mississippi State vs. Tennessee game.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Thursday's matchup, including best bets and picks.

Mississippi State vs. Tennessee prediction: Who will win?

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Thursday's women's basketball matchup between Mississippi State and Tennessee 10,000 times as part of our women's college basketball predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model gives Tennessee an 88% chance of beating Mississippi State.

According to our model, the over/under total of 147.5 points has a 52% chance of going over.

Mississippi State vs. Tennessee odds

We have researched the best women's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Mississippi State vs. Tennessee picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below: