Mississippi State vs. Auburn prediction: Why Auburn is favored to win men's college basketball matchup [3/11/2026]

Auburn and Mississippi State are scheduled to meet in men's college basketball action at Bridgestone Arena on Wednesday, with tipoff at 3:00 PM ET.

Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' proven college basketball model predicts Auburn as the most likely winner of the Mississippi State vs. Auburn game.

This article offers further insights into Wednesday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.

Mississippi State vs. Auburn prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Wednesday's NCAA basketball game between Mississippi State and Auburn 10,000 times as part of our men's college basketball predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model gives Auburn a 75% chance of beating Mississippi State. Our predicted final score has Auburn winning 84-76.

According to our model, the bookmakers have got it right, and Mississippi State and Auburn each have a 50% chance of covering the spread, while the 160.5-point over/under has a 52% chance of going over.

Mississippi State vs. Auburn odds

We have sourced the best men's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Mississippi State	Auburn
Spread	+7.5 (-102)	-7.5 (-120)
Moneyline	+285	-350
Total	o160.5 (-108)	u160.5 (-110)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Mississippi State vs. Auburn picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Spread	Mississippi State +7.5	-102
Moneyline	Mississippi State	+285
Total	Over 160.5	-108

According to our best men's college basketball bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 160.5 total points.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Mississippi State vs. Auburn game-day updates and essential details

Wednesday's men's college basketball game between Auburn and Mississippi State at Bridgestone Arena is scheduled to begin at 3:00 PM ET.

• Who: Mississippi State vs. Auburn
• Date: Wednesday, March 11, 2026
• Time: 3:00 PM ET/12:00PM PT
• Venue: Bridgestone Arena

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Conclusion

We predict Auburn, with a 75% win probability, will likely beat Mississippi State on Wednesday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Mississippi State vs. Auburn insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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