...
...
Read Article
Mississippi State vs. Arkansas prediction: Why Mississippi State is favored to win women's basketball matchup [2/16/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Mississippi State vs Arkansas predictions for college basketball Monday.
Arkansas and Mississippi State are scheduled to meet in the women's college basketball at Bud Walton Arena on Monday, starting at 7:30 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' new women's basketball model predicts Mississippi State as the most likely winner of the Mississippi State vs. Arkansas game.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Monday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Mississippi State vs. Arkansas prediction: Who will win?
Using powerful machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Monday's women's basketball matchup between Mississippi State and Arkansas 10,000 times as part of our women's college basketball predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently gives Mississippi State an 88% chance of defeating Arkansas.
According to our model, the over/under total of 153.5 points has a 52% chance of staying under.
Mississippi State vs. Arkansas odds
We have sourced the best women's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Mississippi State | Arkansas |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -11.5 (-110) | +11.5 (-110) |
| Moneyline | -676 | +490 |
| Total | o153.5 (-110) | u153.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Mississippi State vs. Arkansas picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Mississippi State -11.5 | -110 |
| Moneyline | Mississippi State | -676 |
| Total | Under 153.5 | -110 |
According to our women's college basketball best bets, the top play to make on this game is Mississippi State to win.
Mississippi State vs. Arkansas game-day updates and essential details
Monday's women's basketball game between Arkansas and Mississippi State at Bud Walton Arena is scheduled to begin at 7:30 PM ET.
- Who: Mississippi State vs. Arkansas
- Date: Monday, February 16, 2026
- Time: 7:30 PM ET/4:30PM PT
- Venue: Bud Walton Arena
Conclusion
We predict Mississippi State, with an 88% win probability, will likely beat Arkansas on Monday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Mississippi State vs. Arkansas insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.
Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
Advertiser disclosure