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Read Article Mirra Andreeva vs. Marta Kostyuk prediction, odds, picks for WTA Madrid Open 2026
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get Andreeva vs Kostyuk predictions for WTA Madrid Open.
Mirra Andreeva will square off with Marta Kostyuk in the final at the WTA Madrid event on Saturday.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven tennis model projects Mirra Andreeva as the most likely winner of the Andreeva vs. Kostyuk match.
This article offers a closer look at Saturday's match, including best bets and picks.
Andreeva vs. Kostyuk prediction: Who will win the final?
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Saturday's Andreeva-Kostyuk women's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model gives Andreeva a 57% chance of beating Kostyuk at the WTA Madrid Open tournament.
Additionally, Andreeva has a 56% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Andreeva (-1.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the under 22.5 games has a 55% chance of hitting, according to our model.
Mirra Andreeva vs. Marta Kostyuk odds
We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Andreeva | Kostyuk |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -138 | +120 |
| First Set | -139 | +110 |
| Game Spread | -1.5 (-120) | +1.5 (-110) |
| Total Games | o22.5 (-105) | u22.5 (-133) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Andreeva vs. Kostyuk picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Kostyuk | +120 |
| First Set | Kostyuk | -133 |
According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is Marta Kostyuk to win.
Although Kostyuk is less than likely to win, she provides the best value at the current available odds.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Andreeva vs. Kostyuk updates and essential details
The WTA Madrid Open match between Mirra Andreeva and Marta Kostyuk is scheduled to begin on Saturday at 11:00 AM ET.
- Who: Mirra Andreeva vs. Marta Kostyuk
- Date: Saturday, May 2, 2026
- Approx. Time: 11:00 AM ET/8:00AM PT
- Tournament: WTA Madrid, Spain Women's Singles 2026
- Round: Final
All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
We predict Mirra Andreeva, with a 57% win probability, will likely beat Marta Kostyuk at the WTA Madrid Open tournament.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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