Wild vs. Penguins prediction: Why Pittsburgh is favored to win Friday's NHL matchup [11/21/2025]

The Pittsburgh Penguins and Minnesota Wild are scheduled to meet in the NHL at PPG Paints Arena on Friday, starting at 7:00PM ET.

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced NHL model gives the Penguins a slight edge with a 53% win probability over the Wild.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Friday's Wild vs. Penguins matchup, including projected goal scorers, best bets and player prop picks.

Wild vs. Penguins prediction: Who will win and cover?

As part of Dimers' NHL predictions coverage—and following a review of recent results—our pregame model has generated moneyline, puck line, and over/under probabilities for Friday's clash between the Wild and Penguins.

Our famous predictive model gives the Penguins a 53% chance of beating the Wild.

According to our model, the Wild (+1.5) have a 68% chance of covering the puck line, while the over/under total of six goals has a 53% chance of staying under.

Wild vs. Penguins odds

We have sourced the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Wild	Penguins
Puck Line	+1.5 (-250)	-1.5 (+210)
Moneyline	+100	-118
Total	o6 (-105)	u6 (-115)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Wild vs. Penguins picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Puck Line	Penguins -1.5	+210
Moneyline	Penguins	-118
Total	Under 6	-115

According to our NHL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Penguins -1.5 at the spread.

Wild vs. Penguins player props

Who will score a goal in Wild vs. Penguins?

According to our model, Kirill Kaprizov is most likely to score an anytime goal in Wild vs. Penguins.

Our projections give Kaprizov a 45.9% chance of scoring a goal at PPG Paints Arena, while the star is a 10.3% chance of netting the first goal the game.

Anytime goal scorer predictions

Minnesota Wild

Player	Anytime Goal Probability
Kirill Kaprizov	45.9%
Matt Boldy	35.8%
Joel Ek	28.0%
Mats Zuccarello	20.9%
Marcus Johansson	18.5%

Pittsburgh Penguins

Player	Anytime Goal Probability
Sidney Crosby	36.7%
Bryan Rust	33.4%
Anthony Mantha	25.3%
Evgeni Malkin	23.9%
Thomas Novak	22.1%

First goal scorer predictions

Minnesota Wild

Player	First Goal Probability
Kirill Kaprizov	10.3%
Matt Boldy	6.7%
Joel Ek	5.3%
Mats Zuccarello	4.1%
Marcus Johansson	3.5%

Pittsburgh Penguins

Player	First Goal Probability
Sidney Crosby	7.8%
Bryan Rust	7.0%
Anthony Mantha	5.2%
Evgeni Malkin	4.9%
Thomas Novak	4.0%

Wild vs. Penguins game-day updates and essential details

Friday's action between the Penguins and Wild at PPG Paints Arena is scheduled to commence at 7:00PM ET.

• Who: Minnesota Wild vs. Pittsburgh Penguins
• Date: Friday, November 21, 2025
• Time: 7:00PM ET/4:00PM PT
• Venue: PPG Paints Arena

Conclusion

We predict the Penguins, with a 53% win probability, will likely beat the Wild on Friday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Wild vs. Penguins insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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