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Minnesota vs. Illinois prediction: Why Minnesota is favored to win women's basketball matchup [3/1/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Minnesota vs Illinois predictions for college basketball Sunday.
Illinois will square off with Minnesota in women's college basketball action at State Farm Center on Sunday, starting at 2:00 PM ET.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' new women's basketball model predicts Minnesota as the most likely winner of the Minnesota vs. Illinois game.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Sunday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Minnesota vs. Illinois prediction: Who will win?
Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's women's basketball matchup between Minnesota and Illinois 10,000 times as part of our women's college basketball predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model currently gives Minnesota a 66% chance of defeating Illinois.
According to our model, the 135.5-point over/under has a 52% chance of going over.
Minnesota vs. Illinois odds
We have sourced the best women's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Minnesota | Illinois |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -5.5 (-114) | +5.5 (-114) |
| Moneyline | -192 | +182 |
| Total | o135.5 (-110) | u135.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Minnesota vs. Illinois picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Illinois +5.5 | -114 |
| Moneyline | Minnesota | -192 |
| Total | Over 135.5 | -110 |
According to our women's college basketball best bets, the top play to make on this game is Illinois +5.5 at the spread.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Minnesota vs. Illinois game-day updates and essential details
Sunday's women's basketball matchup between Illinois and Minnesota at State Farm Center is scheduled to commence at 2:00 PM ET.
- Who: Minnesota vs. Illinois
- Date: Sunday, March 1, 2026
- Time: 2:00 PM ET/11:00AM PT
- Venue: State Farm Center
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Conclusion
We predict Minnesota, with a 66% win probability, will likely beat Illinois on Sunday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Minnesota vs. Illinois insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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