Vikings vs. Lions prediction: Detroit favored to win in NFL Week 9, 2025

The Detroit Lions and Minnesota Vikings are scheduled to meet in Week 9 of the NFL season at Ford Field on Sunday, starting at 1:00PM ET.

Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven NFL model projects the Lions as the most likely winner of the Vikings vs. Lions game.

This article offers further insights into this week's matchup, including touchdown scorer projections, best bets and player prop picks.

Vikings vs. Lions prediction: Who will win, cover the spread?

Since our Vikings-Lions predictions earlier in the week, we have simulated the result of Sunday's NFL game between the Vikings and Lions 10,000 times as part of our NFL predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model gives the Lions a 79% chance of defeating the Vikings in Week 9 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the Lions winning 27-18.

According to our model, the Vikings (+9.5) have a 53% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 47.5 points has a 54% chance of staying under.

To see win probabilities for every matchup this week, check out our expert NFL Week 9 straight up picks.

Vikings vs. Lions odds

We have researched the best NFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Vikings	Lions
Spread	+9.5 (-105)	-9.5 (-105)
Moneyline	+410	-520
Total	o47.5 (-110)	u47.5 (-105)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Vikings vs. Lions picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Spread	Vikings +9.5	-105
Moneyline	Vikings	+410
Total	Under 47.5	-105

According to our NFL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 47.5 total points.

Vikings vs. Lions TD scorers

Who will score a touchdown in Vikings vs. Lions?

According to our list of touchdown scorer predictions for Week 9, Jahmyr Gibbs is most likely to score an anytime TD in Vikings vs. Lions.

Our projections give Gibbs a 61.9% chance of getting in for six at Ford Field, while the running back is a 15.1% chance of scoring the first touchdown the game.

Anytime touchdown scorer predictions

Minnesota Vikings

Player	Anytime TD Probability
Justin Jefferson (WR)	34.9%
Jordan Addison (WR)	31.0%
Jordan Mason (RB)	30.0%
Aaron Jones (RB)	27.1%
T.J. Hockenson (TE)	19.9%

Detroit Lions

Player	Anytime TD Probability
Jahmyr Gibbs (RB)	61.9%
Amon-Ra St. Brown (WR)	49.5%
David Montgomery (RB)	49.1%
Sam LaPorta (TE)	33.2%
Jameson Williams (WR)	31.3%

First touchdown scorer predictions

Minnesota Vikings

Player	First TD Probability
Justin Jefferson (WR)	7.1%
Jordan Addison (WR)	6.2%
Jordan Mason (RB)	5.9%
Aaron Jones (RB)	5.2%
T.J. Hockenson (TE)	3.7%

Detroit Lions

Player	First TD Probability
Jahmyr Gibbs (RB)	15.1%
Amon-Ra St. Brown (WR)	10.7%
David Montgomery (RB)	10.6%
Sam LaPorta (TE)	6.3%
Jameson Williams (WR)	5.9%

Vikings vs Lions player props

Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Vikings and Lions. Head to our NFL player projections page now to access a full list of player prop projections for every offensive player in this matchup and all other Week 9 games.

Quarterbacks

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Vikings' J.J. McCarthy is projected for 216 passing yards, while the Lions' Jared Goff is expected to throw for 240 yards.

Player	Proj. Pass Yards
J.J. McCarthy (MIN)	216
Jared Goff (DET)	240

Vikings rushing

Player	Proj. Rush Yards
Jordan Mason	42
Aaron Jones	34
J.J. McCarthy	23

Lions rushing

Player	Proj. Rush Yards
Jahmyr Gibbs	81
David Montgomery	52
Jameson Williams	4

Vikings receiving

Player	Proj. Rec. Yards
Justin Jefferson	77
Jordan Addison	50
T.J. Hockenson	36
Jalen Nailor	23
Aaron Jones	19

Lions receiving

Player	Proj. Rec. Yards
Amon-Ra St. Brown	85
Jameson Williams	54
Sam LaPorta	47
Jahmyr Gibbs	26
Kalif Raymond	16

Vikings vs. Lions game-day updates and essential details

The NFL Week 9 action between the Lions and Vikings at Ford Field is scheduled to start at 1:00PM ET.

• Who: Minnesota Vikings vs. Detroit Lions
• Date: Sunday, November 2, 2025
• Time: 1:00PM ET/10:00AM PT
• Venue: Ford Field

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Conclusion

We predict the Lions, with a 79% win probability, will likely beat the Vikings in Week 9 of the NFL season.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Vikings vs. Lions insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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