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Timberwolves vs. Nuggets prediction: Denver to win, Anthony Edwards projected for big game in Sunday's NBA matchup [3/1/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets predictions for NBA Sunday.
NBA action continues on Sunday at 3:30 PM ET as the Minnesota Timberwolves square off with the Denver Nuggets at Ball Arena.
Based on the latest simulations and today’s injury news, Dimers' advanced NBA model predicts the Nuggets as the most likely winner of the Timberwolves vs. Nuggets game.
This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Nuggets lineup will feature players like Nikola Jokic, Jamal Murray and Cameron Johnson, while the Timberwolves will be led by Anthony Edwards, Julius Randle and Jaden McDaniels.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Sunday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.
Wolves vs. Nuggets prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Sunday's NBA game between the Timberwolves and Nuggets 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model currently gives the Nuggets a 58% chance of defeating the Timberwolves. Our predicted final score has the Nuggets winning 120-118.
According to our model, the Timberwolves (+2.5) have a 52% chance of covering the spread, while the 240.5-point over/under has a 54% chance of staying under.
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets odds
We have researched the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Timberwolves | Nuggets |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +2.5 (-105) | -2.5 (-115) |
| Moneyline | +120 | -140 |
| Total | o240.5 (-110) | u240.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Timberwolves +2.5 | -105 |
| Moneyline | Nuggets | -140 |
| Total | Under 240.5 | -110 |
According to our best NBA bets for Sunday, the top play to make on this game is Under 240.5 total points.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets player props
Looking for Minnesota vs. Denver NBA player props? We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Ball Arena.
Anthony Edwards is expected to lead the Timberwolves with 30 points, 5 rebounds and 4 assists, while Nikola Jokic is projected to have 29 points, 12 rebounds and 11 assists for the Nuggets.
Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.
Timberwolves prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Timberwolves are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Edwards | 30 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 49 |
| Julius Randle | 20 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 41 |
| Jaden McDaniels | 15 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 33 |
| Naz Reid | 14 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 30 |
| Ayo Dosunmu | 13 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 24 |
Nuggets prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Nuggets:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Jokic | 29 | 12 | 11 | 2 | 67 |
| Jamal Murray | 27 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 49 |
| Cameron Johnson | 14 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 27 |
| Tim Hardaway | 13 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 21 |
| Christian Braun | 11 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 25 |
Wolves vs. Nuggets game-day updates and essential details
Sunday's action between the Nuggets and Timberwolves at Ball Arena is scheduled to start at 3:30 PM ET.
- Who: Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Denver Nuggets
- Date: Sunday, March 1, 2026
- Time: 3:30 PM ET/12:30PM PT
- Venue: Ball Arena
Conclusion
We predict the Nuggets, with a 58% win probability, will likely beat the Timberwolves on Sunday, with Nikola Jokic projected for a game-high 67 fantasy points.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Timberwolves vs. Nuggets insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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