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Read Article Lynx vs. Sparks prediction: Minnesota favored to win Wednesday's WNBA matchup [6/17/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Minnesota Lynx vs Los Angeles Sparks predictions for WNBA Wednesday.
The Los Angeles Sparks and Minnesota Lynx will meet in the WNBA at Crypto.com Arena on Wednesday, with tipoff at 10:00 PM ET.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced WNBA model predicts the Lynx as the most likely winner of the Lynx vs. Sparks game.
The Sparks, with the likes of Kelsey Plum, Nneka Ogwumike and Dearica Hamby, are set to take on the Lynx, featuring Courtney Williams, Olivia Miles and Natasha Howard.
This article offers a closer look at Wednesday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks.
Lynx vs. Sparks prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Wednesday's WNBA game between the Lynx and Sparks, forming part of our WNBA predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model gives the Lynx an 84.6% chance of defeating the Sparks.
According to our model, the Lynx (-9.5) have a 53.2% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 177.5 points has a 66.3% chance of staying under,.
Lynx vs. Sparks odds
We have sourced the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Lynx | Sparks |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -9.5 (-112) | +9.5 (-105) |
| Moneyline | -440 | +375 |
| Total | o177.5 (-110) | u177.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Lynx vs. Sparks picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Lynx -9.5 | -112 |
| Moneyline | Lynx | -440 |
| Total | Under 177.5 | -110 |
According to our WNBA best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 177.5 total points.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Lynx vs. Sparks player props
Looking for Minnesota vs. Los Angeles WNBA player props? We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Crypto.com Arena.
Courtney Williams is expected to lead the Lynx with 16 points, 5 rebounds and 6 assists, while Kelsey Plum is projected to have 19 points, 3 rebounds and 5 assists for the Sparks.
When evaluating the first basket market, Kelsey Plum is our top projected player to score first, backed by a 15.1% probability.
Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and a deeper look at today's WNBA first basket picks.
Lynx prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Lynx are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Williams | 16 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 37 |
| Olivia Miles | 16 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 35 |
| Natasha Howard | 16 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 37 |
| Kayla McBride | 15 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 29 |
| Nia Coffey | 9 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 26 |
Sparks prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Sparks:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelsey Plum | 19 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 35 |
| Nneka Ogwumike | 17 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 35 |
| Dearica Hamby | 15 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 32 |
| Ariel Atkins | 11 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 24 |
| Rae Burrell | 10 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 19 |
Lynx vs. Sparks game-day updates and essential details
Wednesday's game between the Sparks and Lynx at Crypto.com Arena is scheduled to start at 10:00 PM ET.
- Who: Minnesota Lynx vs. Los Angeles Sparks
- Date: Wednesday, June 17, 2026
- Time: 10:00 PM ET/7:00PM PT
- Venue: Crypto.com Arena
Conclusion
We predict the Lynx, with an 84.6% win probability, will likely beat the Sparks in Wednesday's WNBA matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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