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Bucks vs. Thunder prediction: Oklahoma City favored to win Thursday's NBA matchup [2/12/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get Milwaukee Bucks vs Oklahoma City Thunder predictions for NBA Thursday.
The Oklahoma City Thunder will take on the Milwaukee Bucks in NBA action at Paycom Center on Thursday, beginning at 7:30 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulation results and today’s injury updates, Dimers' advanced NBA model predicts the Thunder as the most likely winner of the Bucks vs. Thunder game.
This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Thunder lineup will feature stars like Chet Holmgren, Aaron Wiggins and Isaiah Joe, while the Bucks will rely on Kevin Porter, Ryan Rollins and Cam Thomas.
This article offers further insights into Thursday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.
Bucks vs. Thunder prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using powerful machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Thursday's NBA matchup between the Bucks and Thunder 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model currently gives the Thunder an 80% chance of defeating the Bucks. Our predicted final score has the Thunder winning 111-101.
According to our model, the Bucks (+11.5) have a 54% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 213.5 points has a 51% chance of going over.
Bucks vs. Thunder odds
We have researched the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Bucks | Thunder |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +11.5 (-108) | -11.5 (-110) |
| Moneyline | +385 | -500 |
| Total | o213.5 (-106) | u213.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Bucks vs. Thunder picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Bucks +11.5 | -108 |
| Moneyline | Bucks | +385 |
| Total | Over 213.5 | -106 |
According to our best NBA bets for Thursday, the top play to make on this game is Bucks +11.5 at the spread.
Bucks vs. Thunder player props
Looking for Bucks vs. Thunder NBA player props? We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Paycom Center.
Kevin Porter is expected to lead the Bucks with 18 points, 6 rebounds and 8 assists, while Chet Holmgren is projected to have 18 points, 9 rebounds and 2 assists for the Thunder.
Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.
Bucks prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Bucks are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Porter | 18 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 45 |
| Ryan Rollins | 17 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 36 |
| Cam Thomas | 16 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 27 |
| Kyle Kuzma | 13 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 27 |
| Myles Turner | 12 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 28 |
Thunder prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Thunder:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chet Holmgren | 18 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 39 |
| Aaron Wiggins | 14 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 29 |
| Isaiah Joe | 13 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 25 |
| Cason Wallace | 11 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 26 |
| Jaylin Williams | 10 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 30 |
Bucks vs. Thunder game-day updates and essential details
Thursday's game between the Thunder and Bucks at Paycom Center is scheduled to start at 7:30 PM ET.
- Who: Milwaukee Bucks vs. Oklahoma City Thunder
- Date: Thursday, February 12, 2026
- Time: 7:30 PM ET/4:30PM PT
- Venue: Paycom Center
Conclusion
We predict the Thunder, with an 80% win probability, will likely beat the Bucks on Thursday, with Kevin Porter projected for a game-high 45 fantasy points.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Bucks vs. Thunder insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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