Middle Tennessee vs. Missouri State prediction: Why Missouri State is favored to win men's college basketball matchup [3/7/2026]

Missouri State will face Middle Tennessee in men's college basketball action at Great Southern Bank Arena on Saturday, beginning at 3:00 PM ET.

Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven college basketball model predicts Missouri State as the most likely winner of the Middle Tennessee vs. Missouri State game.

This article offers a closer look at Saturday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.

Middle Tennessee vs. Missouri State prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Saturday's NCAA basketball matchup between Middle Tennessee and Missouri State 10,000 times as part of our men's college basketball predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives Missouri State a 58% chance of defeating Middle Tennessee. Our predicted final score has Missouri State winning 74-72.

According to our model, Middle Tennessee (+2.5) has a 51% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 145.5 points has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.

Middle Tennessee vs. Missouri State odds

We have researched the best men's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Middle Tennessee	Missouri State
Spread	+2.5 (-110)	-2.5 (-106)
Moneyline	+118	-135
Total	o145.5 (-108)	u145.5 (-105)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Middle Tennessee vs. Missouri State picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Spread	Middle Tennessee +2.5	-110
Moneyline	Missouri State	-135
Total	Under 145.5	-105

According to our men's college basketball best bets, the top play to make on this game is Missouri State to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Middle Tennessee vs. Missouri State game-day updates and essential details

Saturday's men's college basketball matchup between Missouri State and Middle Tennessee at Great Southern Bank Arena is scheduled to commence at 3:00 PM ET.

• Who: Middle Tennessee vs. Missouri State
• Date: Saturday, March 7, 2026
• Time: 3:00 PM ET/12:00PM PT
• Venue: Great Southern Bank Arena

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Conclusion

We predict Missouri State, with a 58% win probability, will likely beat Middle Tennessee on Saturday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Middle Tennessee vs. Missouri State insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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