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Michigan State vs. Purdue prediction: Why Michigan State is favored to win women's college basketball matchup [1/29/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Michigan State vs Purdue predictions for college basketball Thursday.
Purdue and Michigan State will lock horns in the women's college basketball at Mackey Arena on Thursday, starting at 6:00 PM ET.
The championship matchup pairs two 14–3 teams coming off sharply contrasting conference title games, with New England advancing through a low-scoring, snow-filled AFC Championship win over Denver and Seattle earning its place after a 31–27 NFC Championship thriller against the Rams.
The clash also spotlights two offensive focal points, with Drake Maye guiding New England through a composed, run-focused AFC title performance and Jaxon Smith-Njigba entering as Seattle’s primary playmaker following a 153-yard, one-touchdown outing in the NFC Championship.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' new women's basketball model projects Michigan State as the most likely winner of the Michigan State vs. Purdue game.
This article offers further insights into Thursday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Michigan State vs. Purdue prediction: Who will win?
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Thursday's women's basketball matchup between Michigan State and Purdue 10,000 times as part of our women's college basketball predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model gives Michigan State a 92% chance of beating Purdue.
According to our model, the 147.5-point over/under has a 51% chance of staying under.
Michigan State vs. Purdue odds
We have sourced the best women's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Michigan State | Purdue |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -14.5 (-110) | +14.5 (-110) |
| Moneyline | -1351 | +800 |
| Total | o147.5 (-110) | u147.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Michigan State vs. Purdue picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Michigan State -14.5 | -110 |
| Moneyline | Michigan State | -1351 |
| Total | Under 147.5 | -110 |
According to our women's college basketball best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 147.5 total points.
Michigan State vs. Purdue game-day updates and essential details
Thursday's women's basketball action between Purdue and Michigan State at Mackey Arena is scheduled to start at 6:00 PM ET.
- Who: Michigan State vs. Purdue
- Date: Thursday, January 29, 2026
- Time: 6:00 PM ET/3:00PM PT
- Venue: Mackey Arena
Conclusion
We predict Michigan State, with a 92% win probability, will likely beat Purdue on Thursday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Michigan State vs. Purdue insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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