Michigan State vs. Iowa prediction: Why Iowa is favored to win women's college basketball matchup [1/18/2026]

Women's college basketball action continues on Sunday at 8:00 PM ET as Michigan State squares off with Iowa at Carver-Hawkeye Arena.

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' new women's basketball model projects Iowa as the most likely winner of the Michigan State vs. Iowa game.

This article offers further insights into Sunday's matchup, including best bets and picks.

Michigan State vs. Iowa prediction: Who will win?

Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Sunday's women's basketball game between Michigan State and Iowa 10,000 times as part of our women's college basketball predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives Iowa a 73% chance of beating Michigan State.

According to our model, the 147.5-point over/under has a 57% chance of staying under.

Michigan State vs. Iowa odds

We have researched the best women's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Michigan State vs. Iowa picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below: