Miami (OH) vs. SMU prediction: SMU favored to win men's March Madness First Four matchup [3/18/2026]

SMU will square off with Miami (OH) in March Madness First Four action at UD Arena on Wednesday, beginning at 9:15 PM ET.

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced college basketball model predicts SMU as the most likely winner of the Miami (OH) vs. SMU game.

This article offers further insights into Wednesday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.

Miami (OH) vs. SMU prediction: Who will win and advance to the First Round?

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Wednesday's NCAAM Tournament game between Miami (OH) and SMU 10,000 times as part of our men's college basketball predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model gives SMU a 74% chance of defeating Miami (OH). Our predicted final score has SMU winning 83-76.

According to our model, the bookmakers have got it right, and Miami (OH) and SMU each have a 50% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 161.5 points has a 52% chance of staying under.

Miami (OH) vs. SMU odds

We have researched the best men's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Miami (OH)	SMU
Spread	+7.5 (-110)	-7.5 (+100)
Moneyline	+250	-300
Total	o161.5 (-110)	u161.5 (-110)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Miami (OH) vs. SMU picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Spread	SMU -7.5	+100
Moneyline	SMU	-300
Total	Under 161.5	-110

According to our men's college basketball best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 161.5 total points.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Miami (OH) vs. SMU game-day updates and essential details

Wednesday's men's college basketball matchup between SMU and Miami (OH) at UD Arena is scheduled to commence at 9:15 PM ET.

• Who: Miami (OH) vs. SMU
• Date: Wednesday, March 18, 2026
• Time: 9:15 PM ET/6:15PM PT
• Venue: UD Arena
• March Madness stage: First Four

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Conclusion

We predict SMU, with a 74% win probability, will likely beat Miami (OH) this men's March Madness First Four matchup.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Miami (OH) vs. SMU insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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