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Miami Marlins vs. Houston Astros: Astros Projected to Win After New Data Released for Wednesday's MLB Game [7/10/2024]

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Written by Jason Bevilacqua
Miami Marlins vs. Houston Astros: Astros Projected to Win After New Data Released for Wednesday's MLB Game [7/10/2024]

The Houston Astros and Miami Marlins will meet in MLB action at Minute Maid Park on Wednesday, starting at 8:10PM ET.

The Astros will send Framber Valdez (7-5, 3.84 ERA) to the mound, while the Marlins are going with Bryan Hoeing (0-1, 1.98 ERA).

Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' proven MLB model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Astros as the most likely winner of the game.

"Our team has simulated the outcome of Wednesday's Marlins-Astros game 10,000 times," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.

"With the latest updates and numerous other variables, we estimate the Astros' chance of winning at 66%, with the Marlins at 34%."

Marlins vs. Astros Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

Wednesday's MLB game between the Astros and Marlins at Minute Maid Park is scheduled to begin at 8:10PM ET.

Dimers.com's full preview of Wednesday's Marlins vs. Astros matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Astros vs. Marlins picks, be sure to check out the latest MLB predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

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Marlins vs. Astros Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Run Line?

Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Wednesday's MLB matchup between the Marlins and Astros 10,000 times as part of our MLB predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives the Astros a 66% chance of defeating the Marlins.

According to our model, the Marlins (+1.5) have a 53% chance of covering the run line, while the 8-run over/under has a 54% chance of going over.

Pre-Game Probabilities
Last Updated: 12:27AM, Jul 11
Moneyline
Over / Under
Run Line
Marlins
Win %
31%
69%
Get the best bets with Dimers Pro
See Matchup
Astros
Marlins MIA
Win %
31%
69%
See Matchup
Astros HOU
Bryan Hoeing 0-1, 1.99 ERA
Framber Valdez 7-5, 3.84 ERA
Get the best bets with Dimers Pro

Marlins vs. Astros Odds [7/10/2024]

We have sourced the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Marlins Astros
Run Line +1.5 (-105) -1.5 (-110)
Moneyline +198 -225
Total o8 (-110) u8 (-108)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Marlins vs. Astros Picks

Our model's biggest edge in the Marlins vs. Astros matchup is on the run line.

Our expert predictions, aligned with the best odds, reveal the best MLB bets for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Access 176 MLB bets, including a 14% edge
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Calling Our Shot: Best Bets Video

Calling Our Shot produces daily MLB betting content, including the best bets featured below.

Conclusion

We predict the Astros, with a 66% win probability, will likely beat the Marlins on Wednesday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Marlins vs. Astros insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee.

More on MLB

Stay updated with the most recent MLB betting news and our data-driven MLB parlay picks all season long. Plus, our World Series odds give you the most up-to-date predictions and the best available odds on the World Series, American League, National League, and each division.

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Written by
Jason Bevilacqua
Head of Content and Communities

Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.

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