Miami Marlins vs. Houston Astros: Astros Predicted to Win After New Data Released for Thursday's MLB Game [7/11/2024]

Miami Marlins vs. Houston Astros: Astros Predicted to Win After New Data Released for Thursday's MLB Game [7/11/2024]

The Houston Astros will face the Miami Marlins in MLB action at Minute Maid Park on Thursday, starting at 8:10PM ET.

Jake Bloss (0-0, 4.91 ERA) will be on the bump for the Astros, pitting him against Roddery Muñoz (1-3, 5.48 ERA) for the Marlins.

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced MLB model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Astros as the most likely winner of the game.

"Using the latest data, our experts simulated Thursday's Marlins-Astros game 10,000 times," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.

"Taking into account recent updates and various additional inputs, we forecast the Astros with a win probability of 61% and the Marlins with 39%."

Marlins vs. Astros Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

Thursday's MLB matchup between the Astros and Marlins at Minute Maid Park is scheduled to begin at 8:10PM ET.'s comprehensive preview of Thursday's Marlins vs. Astros matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Astros vs. Marlins picks, be sure to check out the latest MLB predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Marlins vs. Astros Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Run Line?

Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Thursday's MLB game between the Marlins and Astros 10,000 times as part of our MLB picks coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently gives the Astros a 61% chance of beating the Marlins.

According to our model, the Marlins (+1.5) have a 57% chance of covering the run line, while the 8.5-run over/under has a 56% chance of going over.


Marlins vs. Astros Odds [7/11/2024]

We have researched the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Marlins Astros
Run Line +1.5 (-125) -1.5 (+115)
Moneyline +154 -175
Total o8.5 (-120) u8.5 (+100)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Marlins vs. Astros Picks

Our model's strongest edge in the Marlins vs. Astros matchup is on the run line.

Our expert predictions, matched against the latest odds, reveal the best MLB bets for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Calling Our Shot: Best Bets Video

Calling Our Shot produces daily MLB betting content, including the free picks featured below.


We predict the Astros, with a 61% win probability, will likely beat the Marlins on Thursday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Marlins vs. Astros insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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More on MLB

Stay informed with the latest MLB betting news and our data-driven MLB parlay picks all season long. Plus, our World Series odds give you the most up-to-date probabilities and the best available odds on the World Series, American League, National League, and each division.

Jason Bevilacqua
Head of Content and Communities

Jason Bevilacqua has a deep-rooted passion for sports and has been actively involved in sports betting for many years. Specializing in the MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, Jason delivers engaging game previews across these leagues. His expertise is particularly evident in his best bets for MLB, NHL, and college basketball. Additionally, Jason contributes valuable MLB and NFL props, as well as NBA first basket plays. 

Since joining Dimers in 2020 as the Head of Social and Community, Jason has also made significant contributions to the editorial department, offering daily articles that are not only well-researched but also deeply insightful. His strategic approach and collaboration with DimersBOT ensure his betting advice is top-notch.

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