Heat vs. Jazz prediction: Miami favored to win Saturday's NBA matchup [1/24/2026]

The Utah Jazz will take on the favored Miami Heat in NBA action at Delta Center on Saturday, starting at 9:30 PM ET.

Based on updated simulations and today’s injury news, Dimers' advanced NBA model predicts the Heat as the most likely winner of the Heat vs. Jazz game.

This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Jazz lineup will feature stars like Keyonte George, Brice Sensabaugh and Ace Bailey, while the Heat will rely on Norman Powell, Bam Adebayo and Jaime Jaquez.

This article offers further insights into Saturday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.

Heat vs. Jazz prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's NBA game between the Heat and Jazz 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model gives the Heat a 72% chance of beating the Jazz. Our predicted final score has the Heat winning 124-118.

According to our model, the bookies have got it right, and the Heat and Jazz each have a 50% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 244.5 points has a 54% chance of staying under.

Heat vs. Jazz odds

We have sourced the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Heat	Jazz
Spread	-6.5 (-106)	+6.5 (-110)
Moneyline	-245	+210
Total	o244.5 (-110)	u244.5 (-110)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Heat vs. Jazz picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Spread	Heat -6.5	-106
Moneyline	Heat	-245
Total	Under 244.5	-110

According to our best NBA bets for Saturday, the top play to make on this game is Under 244.5 total points.

Heat vs. Jazz player props

NBA player props are a common way to wager on the Heat vs. Jazz game without necessarily betting on the outcome. We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Delta Center.

Norman Powell is expected to lead the Heat with 24 points, 4 rebounds and 3 assists, while Keyonte George is projected to have 25 points, 4 rebounds and 7 assists for the Jazz.

Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.

Heat prediction

Our model's projected player stats for the Heat are:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Norman Powell	24	4	3	3	39
Bam Adebayo	20	10	3	2	44
Jaime Jaquez	18	5	6	1	38
Andrew Wiggins	18	5	4	2	36
Pelle Larsson	12	4	4	1	27

Jazz prediction

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Jazz:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Keyonte George	25	4	7	3	46
B. Sensabaugh	16	4	2	3	27
Ace Bailey	15	5	2	2	29
Jusuf Nurkic	15	12	5	1	44
Isaiah Collier	10	3	6	1	26

Heat vs. Jazz game-day updates and essential details

Saturday's matchup between the Jazz and Heat at Delta Center is scheduled to begin at 9:30 PM ET.

• Who: Miami Heat vs. Utah Jazz
• Date: Saturday, January 24, 2026
• Time: 9:30 PM ET/6:30PM PT
• Venue: Delta Center

Conclusion

We predict the Heat, with a 72% win probability, will likely beat the Jazz on Saturday, with Keyonte George projected for a game-high 46 fantasy points.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Heat vs. Jazz insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.