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Heat vs. Jazz Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Heat vs. Jazz NBA game on January 24, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
147
116
Jan 25, 2:30AM Delta Center
Jan 25, 2:30AM Delta Center
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Heat | 35 | 38 | 35 | 39 | 147 |
Jazz | 34 | 18 | 37 | 27 | 116 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
>99%
<1%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Heat | 35 | 38 | 35 | 39 | 147 |
Jazz | 34 | 18 | 37 | 27 | 116 |
Q4 00:00 Jazz makes three point jump shot
Q4 00:03 Jazz misses two point jump shot
Q4 00:53 Jazz misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:12 Jazz misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:25 Heat misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:50 Heat misses two point jump shot
Q4 2:12 Myron Gardner makes two point jump shot
Q4 2:52 Jazz misses three point jump shot
Q4 3:27 Heat makes three point jump shot
Q4 4:38 Heat makes two point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
+3
Jazz makes three point jump shot
147-116
End of 4th Quarter.
Jazz misses two point jump shot
+1
Keshad Johnson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
147-113
+1
Isaiah Collier makes regular free throw 1 of 2
145-112
+1
Isaiah Collier makes regular free throw 2 of 2
145-113
Myron Gardner defensive rebound
Jazz misses three point jump shot
Simone Fontecchio defensive rebound
Ace Bailey offensive rebound
Jazz misses two point jump shot
Kyle Filipowski offensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Jazz lineup change (Ace Bailey, Kyle Filipowski, Cody Williams, Keyonte George, Isaiah Collier)
Heat misses two point jump shot
Heat personal foul
+1
Cody Williams makes regular free throw 2 of 2
140-111
+2
Myron Gardner makes two point jump shot
140-110
Heat personal foul
Heat 60 second timeout
Heat lineup change (Nikola Jovic, Myron Gardner, Dru Smith, Keshad Johnson, Simone Fontecchio)
+1
Isaiah Collier makes regular free throw 2 of 2
138-110
Jazz misses three point jump shot
Jazz 60 second timeout
+1
Keyonte George makes regular free throw 2 of 3
135-108
+1
Keyonte George makes regular free throw 3 of 3
135-109
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
135-106
Jazz personal foul
Heat lineup change (Kasparas Jakucionis, Nikola Jovic, Dru Smith, Pelle Larsson, Simone Fontecchio)
+1
Nikola Jovic makes regular free throw 2 of 3
132-106
Heat lineup change (Kasparas Jakucionis, Nikola Jovic, Myron Gardner, Dru Smith, Simone Fontecchio)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Jazz lineup change (Ace Bailey, Jusuf Nurkic, Cody Williams, Keyonte George, Isaiah Collier)
Heat turnover
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
130-106
Dru Smith defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+2
Jazz makes two point jump shot
128-106
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
128-104
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Nikola Jovic, Dru Smith, Pelle Larsson, Simone Fontecchio)
Jazz lineup change (Ace Bailey, Jusuf Nurkic, Keyonte George, Isaiah Collier, Brice Sensabaugh)
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Jazz misses two point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
122-102
Heat misses two point jump shot
Dru Smith offensive rebound
Jazz misses two point jump shot
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 2
120-102
Heat 60 second timeout
+2
Jazz makes two point jump shot
118-101
Jazz lineup change (Jusuf Nurkic, Walter Clayton Jr., Keyonte George, Isaiah Collier, Brice Sensabaugh)
Jusuf Nurkic defensive rebound
Isaiah Collier defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
118-97
Dru Smith defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Dru Smith, Bam Adebayo, Pelle Larsson, Simone Fontecchio)
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
115-97
+2
Jazz makes two point jump shot
112-97
Heat misses two point jump shot
+1
Nikola Jovic makes regular free throw 2 of 2
112-95
Jazz lineup change (Jusuf Nurkic, Cody Williams, Walter Clayton Jr., Isaiah Collier, Brice Sensabaugh)
+3
Jazz makes three point jump shot
110-95
Bam Adebayo offensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 2
110-92
Heat lineup change (Nikola Jovic, Dru Smith, Bam Adebayo, Pelle Larsson, Simone Fontecchio)
Jazz turnover
Isaiah Collier offensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Heat personal foul
+1
Isaiah Collier makes regular free throw 2 of 2
108-92
Brice Sensabaugh defensive rebound
Heat personal foul
+1
Walter Clayton Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 2
108-90
Heat misses three point jump shot
Heat lineup change (Nikola Jovic, Myron Gardner, Dru Smith, Bam Adebayo, Simone Fontecchio)
Jazz lineup change (Ace Bailey, Kyle Anderson, Walter Clayton Jr., Isaiah Collier, Brice Sensabaugh)
Dru Smith defensive rebound
Myron Gardner defensive rebound
Jazz misses three point jump shot
Jazz misses two point jump shot
Heat turnover
Heat personal foul
+1
Keyonte George makes regular free throw 1 of 2
106-88
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
104-84
+3
Jazz makes three point jump shot
101-84
Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Andrew Wiggins, Nikola Jovic, Dru Smith, Simone Fontecchio)
+1
Andrew Wiggins makes regular free throw 1 of 1
99-81
+2
Jazz makes two point jump shot
96-81
Kyle Filipowski defensive rebound
Isaiah Collier defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
96-77
+2
Jazz makes two point jump shot
93-77
Dru Smith offensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Jazz personal foul
Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Andrew Wiggins, Nikola Jovic, Dru Smith, Norman Powell)
Norman Powell misses regular free throw 2 of 2
+2
Jazz makes two point jump shot
92-72
Heat lineup change (Kasparas Jakucionis, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Andrew Wiggins, Nikola Jovic, Norman Powell)
Jazz lineup change (Kyle Anderson, Kyle Filipowski, Cody Williams, Keyonte George, Isaiah Collier)
Norman Powell defensive rebound
Jazz misses two point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
84-66
Andrew Wiggins offensive rebound
Svi Mykhailiuk defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Heat personal foul
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
82-64
Jazz defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Jusuf Nurkic defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Kasparas Jakucionis defensive rebound
Jazz misses three point jump shot
Andrew Wiggins offensive rebound
Heat offensive rebound
Heat offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Jazz misses two point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
78-60
Kasparas Jakucionis defensive rebound
Heat turnover
Heat 60 second timeout
Heat misses two point jump shot
+2
Jazz makes two point jump shot
75-58
Jazz personal foul
Jazz turnover
+2
Jazz makes two point jump shot
73-56
Heat personal foul
Heat misses three point jump shot
Jazz personal foul
+2
Jazz makes two point jump shot
73-54
Jump ball. (Pelle Larsson gains possession)
Jazz misses three point jump shot
Heat lineup change (Kasparas Jakucionis, Andrew Wiggins, Bam Adebayo, Pelle Larsson, Norman Powell)
Heat misses two point jump shot
Jazz turnover
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Norman Powell misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Heat offensive rebound
Jazz misses two point jump shot
+1
Andrew Wiggins makes regular free throw 1 of 2
69-52
Jazz lineup change (Jusuf Nurkic, Kyle Filipowski, Cody Williams, Keyonte George, Brice Sensabaugh)
+1
Andrew Wiggins makes regular free throw 2 of 2
70-52
+2
Jazz makes two point jump shot
68-52
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
68-50
+2
Jazz makes two point jump shot
65-50
Jusuf Nurkic offensive rebound
Jazz misses three point jump shot
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
65-48
+2
Jazz makes two point jump shot
62-48
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
62-46
Jazz personal foul
Norman Powell misses regular free throw 1 of 2
+1
Norman Powell makes regular free throw 2 of 2
60-44
Norman Powell defensive rebound
Jazz lineup change (Ace Bailey, Jusuf Nurkic, Cody Williams, Svi Mykhailiuk, Keyonte George)
Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Andrew Wiggins, Bam Adebayo, Pelle Larsson, Norman Powell)
Heat defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Heat misses three point jump shot
Keyonte George misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Jazz offensive rebound
Heat turnover
Jazz misses two point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
57-43
Jazz turnover
Jazz misses two point jump shot
+1
Nikola Jovic makes regular free throw 2 of 2
53-43
Jazz turnover
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
52-43
Norman Powell defensive rebound
Heat personal foul
Jusuf Nurkic misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Jump ball. (Norman Powell gains possession)
Heat offensive rebound
Instant replay
Jazz 60 second timeout
Heat offensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+2
Jazz makes two point jump shot
48-43
Ace Bailey personal foul
+1
Pelle Larsson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
48-41
Simone Fontecchio offensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+3
Jazz makes three point jump shot
46-41
Heat misses three point jump shot
Myron Gardner offensive rebound
Dru Smith offensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Jazz misses three point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
43-38
Jazz personal foul
+1
Pelle Larsson makes regular free throw 1 of 1
44-38
Heat turnover
+2
Jazz makes two point jump shot
41-36
Heat personal foul
Dru Smith defensive rebound
Jazz misses three point jump shot
Brice Sensabaugh misses technical free throw 1 of 1
Bam Adebayo offensive rebound
Dru Smith defensive rebound
Jazz personal foul
Myron Gardner misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Heat offensive rebound
Myron Gardner misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Jazz lineup change (Ace Bailey, Kyle Anderson, Kyle Filipowski, Walter Clayton Jr., Keyonte George)
Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Nikola Jovic, Myron Gardner, Dru Smith, Bam Adebayo)
Heat misses two point jump shot
Jaime Jaquez Jr. offensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Jazz defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+2
Jazz makes two point jump shot
35-31
Brice Sensabaugh defensive rebound
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 2
34-29
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 2
35-29
+2
Jazz makes two point jump shot
33-29
Jazz personal foul
+1
Nikola Jovic makes regular free throw 1 of 2
32-27
Jazz turnover
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
31-27
Heat personal foul
Heat misses three point jump shot
Heat turnover
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Heat 60 second timeout
Instant replay
Jazz lineup change (Kyle Anderson, Kyle Filipowski, Keyonte George, Isaiah Collier, Brice Sensabaugh)
Dru Smith defensive rebound
Jazz misses two point jump shot
Simone Fontecchio defensive rebound
Jazz misses two point jump shot
Nikola Jovic misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Heat offensive rebound
Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Nikola Jovic, Dru Smith, Bam Adebayo, Simone Fontecchio)
+1
Nikola Jovic makes regular free throw 2 of 2
27-23
+2
Jazz makes two point jump shot
26-23
Nikola Jovic offensive rebound
Kasparas Jakucionis defensive rebound
Jazz lineup change (Kyle Anderson, Kyle Filipowski, Cody Williams, Isaiah Collier, Brice Sensabaugh)
+1
Norman Powell makes regular free throw 2 of 2
26-21
Jusuf Nurkic defensive rebound
Jaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
23-19
Jazz personal foul
Jazz lineup change (Jusuf Nurkic, Kyle Filipowski, Cody Williams, Keyonte George, Isaiah Collier)
+1
Jaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 1
24-19
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Jazz misses two point jump shot
Andrew Wiggins offensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Heat misses two point jump shot
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
16-17
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
14-15
Svi Mykhailiuk offensive rebound
Jazz misses three point jump shot
Andrew Wiggins defensive rebound
Jazz misses three point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
9-13
Jazz 60 second timeout
+2
Jazz makes two point jump shot
7-13
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
7-11
Jazz personal foul
Jazz misses three point jump shot
Heat personal foul
+1
Svi Mykhailiuk makes regular free throw 1 of 2
4-10
+1
Svi Mykhailiuk makes regular free throw 2 of 2
4-11
Heat turnover
+2
Jazz makes two point jump shot
4-8
Heat personal foul
Norman Powell defensive rebound
Jazz misses two point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Heat violation
Heat personal foul
+2
Jazz makes two point jump shot
2-6
Heat misses three point jump shot
Heat misses two point jump shot
Heat lineup change (Kasparas Jakucionis, Andrew Wiggins, Bam Adebayo, Pelle Larsson, Norman Powell)
(Svi Mykhailiuk gains possession)
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 12 | D. Smith | 6 | 10 | 5 |
| F | 16 | K. Johnson | 5 | 0 | 0 |
| F | 15 | M. Gardner | 2 | 6 | 4 |
| F | 0 | S. Fontecchio | 14 | 6 | 2 |
| F | 5 | N. Jovic | 23 | 3 | 1 |
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F | 5 | C. Williams | 5 | 1 | 1 |
| G | 8 | I. Collier | 16 | 6 | 8 |
| F | 19 | A. Bailey | 12 | 2 | 2 |
| C | 22 | K. Filipowski | 9 | 4 | 3 |
| G | 3 | K. George | 19 | 2 | 5 |
Game Prediction Article
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Heat vs. Jazz: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Heat vs. Jazz
- Date: Saturday, January 24, 2026
- Time: 9:30 PM ET
- Venue: Delta Center
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Heat favored at -6.5
- Total (Over/Under): 244.5
- Moneyline Odds: Heat -245, Jazz +210
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Heat: 72%
- Jazz: 28%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Heat 124-117 Jazz.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Heat a win probability of 72%, while the Jazz have a win probability of 28%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Heat are more likely to beat the Jazz in the NBA game at Delta Center on Sunday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Heat vs. Jazz predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.
For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.
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