Lakers vs. Mavericks Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Lakers vs. Mavericks NBA game on January 24, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA sport icon
NBA
Lakers
116
110
American Airlines Center
Mavericks
American Airlines Center
TEAM1234T
Lakers
37 28 14 37 116
Mavericks
28 24 35 23 110
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Lakers
    87%
  • Mavericks
    13%
Win Probability
TEAM1234T
Lakers
37 28 14 37 116
Mavericks
28 24 35 23 110
Q4 00:10 Mavericks makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:20 Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:30 Lakers makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:37 Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:42 Lakers misses three point jump shot
Q4 2:32 Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Q4 3:17 Lakers makes two point jump shot
Q4 3:51 Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Q4 4:26 Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Q4 5:14 Caleb Martin misses two point jump shot
Play by Play
  1. Q4 00:10
    +2
    Mavericks makes two point jump shot
    116-110
  2. Q4 00:41
    Mavericks personal foul
  3. Q4 1:07
    Lakers personal foul
  4. Q4 1:07
    +1
    Naji Marshall makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    114-108
  5. Q4 1:07
    Naji Marshall misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  6. Q4 1:15
    Mavericks personal foul
  7. Q4 1:15
    +1
    Luka Doncic makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    113-107
  8. Q4 1:20
    Mavericks misses three point jump shot
  9. Q4 1:30
    +2
    Lakers makes two point jump shot
    112-107
  10. Q4 1:36
    Jake LaRavia defensive rebound
  11. Q4 1:37
    Mavericks misses two point jump shot
  12. Q4 1:40
    Marcus Smart offensive rebound
  13. Q4 1:42
    Lakers misses three point jump shot
  14. Q4 2:00
    Lakers personal foul
  15. Q4 2:00
    +1
    Cooper Flagg makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    108-107
  16. Q4 2:32
    Mavericks misses three point jump shot
  17. Q4 2:45
    +1
    Rui Hachimura makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    105-106
  18. Q4 2:58
    +1
    Max Christie makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    101-105
  19. Q4 2:58
    +1
    Max Christie makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    101-106
  20. Q4 3:17
    +2
    Lakers makes two point jump shot
    101-104
  21. Q4 3:17
    Mavericks 60 second timeout
  22. Q4 3:30
    Lakers personal foul
  23. Q4 3:30
    +1
    Max Christie makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    99-103
  24. Q4 3:51
    Mavericks misses three point jump shot
  25. Q4 4:00
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  26. Q4 4:26
    Mavericks misses two point jump shot
  27. Q4 4:29
    Lakers turnover
  28. Q4 4:49
    Lakers violation
  29. Q4 5:06
    P.J. Washington personal foul (Marcus Smart draws the foul)
  30. Q4 5:06
    Marcus Smart misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  31. Q4 5:06
    Mavericks lineup change (Max Christie, Naji Marshall, Caleb Martin, Cooper Flagg, P.J. Washington)
  32. Q4 5:12
    Rui Hachimura defensive rebound
  33. Q4 5:14
    Caleb Martin misses two point jump shot
  34. Q4 5:31
    Lakers turnover
  35. Q4 5:36
    Jake LaRavia defensive rebound
  36. Q4 6:01
    Mavericks turnover
  37. Q4 6:14
    Mavericks personal foul
  38. Q4 6:14
    +1
    Marcus Smart makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    90-102
  39. Q4 6:24
    Mavericks lineup change (Max Christie, Dwight Powell, Naji Marshall, Caleb Martin, Cooper Flagg)
  40. Q4 6:52
    Rui Hachimura defensive rebound
  41. Q4 7:18
    Max Christie defensive rebound
  42. Q4 7:21
    Lakers misses three point jump shot
  43. Q4 7:41
    +2
    Mavericks makes two point jump shot
    87-101
  44. Q4 7:57
    Cooper Flagg defensive rebound
  45. Q4 7:59
    +2
    Lakers makes two point jump shot
    87-99
  46. Q4 8:19
    +2
    Mavericks makes two point jump shot
    85-99
  47. Q4 8:39
    Instant replay
  48. Q4 8:39
    Mavericks lineup change (Max Christie, Dwight Powell, Naji Marshall, Caleb Martin, Cooper Flagg)
  49. Q4 8:39
    +1
    Naji Marshall makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    85-97
  50. Q4 9:00
    Lakers misses three point jump shot
  51. Q4 9:01
    Rui Hachimura offensive rebound
  52. Q4 9:23
    +2
    Mavericks makes two point jump shot
    82-95
  53. Q4 9:38
    Mavericks personal foul
  54. Q4 9:38
    +1
    Luka Doncic makes regular free throw 1 of 3
    80-93
  55. Q4 9:38
    Lakers lineup change (Jake LaRavia, LeBron James, Luka Doncic, Marcus Smart, Rui Hachimura)
  56. Q4 9:44
    LeBron James defensive rebound
  57. Q4 10:00
    Mavericks misses two point jump shot
  58. Q4 10:22
    Lakers turnover
  59. Q4 10:30
    Lakers offensive rebound
  60. Q4 10:30
    Mavericks lineup change (Daniel Gafford, Naji Marshall, Brandon Williams, Cooper Flagg, P.J. Washington)
  61. Q4 10:49
    +3
    Mavericks makes three point jump shot
    79-93
  62. Q4 10:57
    Cooper Flagg defensive rebound
  63. Q4 11:03
    Drew Timme defensive rebound
  64. Q4 11:05
    Mavericks misses three point jump shot
  65. Q4 11:18
    Mavericks personal foul
  66. Q4 11:18
    Lakers lineup change (LeBron James, Luka Doncic, Marcus Smart, Deandre Ayton, Drew Timme)
  67. Q4 11:24
    +2
    Mavericks makes two point jump shot
    79-89
  68. Q4 11:36
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  69. Q3 00:00
    End of 3rd Quarter.
  70. Q3 00:00
    Lakers offensive rebound
  71. Q4 12:00
    Lakers lineup change (LeBron James, Gabe Vincent, Rui Hachimura, Deandre Ayton, Drew Timme)
  72. Q4 12:00
    Mavericks lineup change (Klay Thompson, Daniel Gafford, Naji Marshall, Cooper Flagg, P.J. Washington)
  73. Q4 12:00
    Lakers lineup change (LeBron James, Marcus Smart, Rui Hachimura, Deandre Ayton, Drew Timme)
  74. Q4 12:00
    Mavericks lineup change (Klay Thompson, Daniel Gafford, Naji Marshall, Cooper Flagg, P.J. Washington)
  75. Q4 12:00
    Mavericks lineup change (Klay Thompson, Daniel Gafford, Brandon Williams, Cooper Flagg, P.J. Washington)
  76. Q3 00:02
    +2
    Mavericks makes two point jump shot
    79-87
  77. Q3 00:08
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  78. Q3 00:27
    Jarred Vanderbilt defensive rebound
  79. Q3 00:35
    Mavericks misses two point jump shot
  80. Q3 1:11
    +2
    Lakers makes two point jump shot
    79-83
  81. Q3 1:21
    Deandre Ayton defensive rebound
  82. Q3 1:23
    Mavericks misses two point jump shot
  83. Q3 1:30
    Deandre Ayton offensive rebound
  84. Q3 1:34
    Lakers misses two point jump shot
  85. Q3 1:49
    +2
    Mavericks makes two point jump shot
    77-83
  86. Q3 2:09
    Lakers turnover
  87. Q3 2:13
    Lakers misses two point jump shot
  88. Q3 2:36
    +2
    Mavericks makes two point jump shot
    77-81
  89. Q3 2:37
    P.J. Washington offensive rebound
  90. Q3 2:40
    +2
    Mavericks makes two point jump shot
    77-79
  91. Q3 2:40
    Brandon Williams misses regular free throw 1 of 1
  92. Q3 2:47
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  93. Q3 2:47
    Mavericks misses two point jump shot
  94. Q3 2:58
    Mavericks defensive rebound
  95. Q3 2:58
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  96. Q3 2:58
    Mavericks lineup change (Klay Thompson, Daniel Gafford, Naji Marshall, Brandon Williams, P.J. Washington)
  97. Q3 2:59
    Jarred Vanderbilt misses two point tip layup
  98. Q3 3:07
    Mavericks misses two point jump shot
  99. Q3 3:18
    Mavericks misses three point jump shot
  100. Q3 3:18
    Mavericks offensive rebound
  101. Q3 3:18
    Lakers lineup change (Jarred Vanderbilt, LeBron James, Gabe Vincent, Jaxson Hayes, Rui Hachimura)
  102. Q3 3:32
    +3
    Lakers makes three point jump shot
    77-77
  103. Q3 3:52
    +3
    Mavericks makes three point jump shot
    74-77
  104. Q3 3:59
    P.J. Washington defensive rebound
  105. Q3 4:25
    Lakers personal foul
  106. Q3 4:25
    Mavericks lineup change (Klay Thompson, Daniel Gafford, Brandon Williams, Caleb Martin, P.J. Washington)
  107. Q3 4:25
    +1
    Daniel Gafford makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    74-74
  108. Q3 4:36
    Lakers misses three point jump shot
  109. Q3 4:53
    Mavericks personal foul
  110. Q3 5:11
    Lakers lineup change (Jarred Vanderbilt, Luka Doncic, Gabe Vincent, Jaxson Hayes, Rui Hachimura)
  111. Q3 5:14
    Rui Hachimura defensive rebound
  112. Q3 5:17
    Mavericks misses two point jump shot
  113. Q3 5:28
    +2
    Lakers makes two point jump shot
    71-72
  114. Q3 5:42
    Mavericks misses three point jump shot
  115. Q3 6:14
    +2
    Mavericks makes two point jump shot
    69-72
  116. Q3 6:18
    Lakers turnover
  117. Q3 6:49
    Mavericks defensive rebound
  118. Q3 6:50
    Lakers turnover
  119. Q3 6:50
    LeBron James misses two point driving layup
  120. Q3 6:58
    LeBron James defensive rebound
  121. Q3 7:09
    Mavericks misses two point jump shot
  122. Q3 7:17
    Naji Marshall defensive rebound
  123. Q3 7:41
    Lakers turnover
  124. Q3 7:58
    Lakers lineup change (Jake LaRavia, LeBron James, Luka Doncic, Jaxson Hayes, Marcus Smart)
  125. Q3 8:57
    Lakers personal foul
  126. Q3 9:00
    Max Christie defensive rebound
  127. Q3 9:17
    Mavericks misses two point jump shot
  128. Q3 9:33
    Deandre Ayton turnover (offensive foul)
  129. Q3 9:50
    +2
    Mavericks makes two point jump shot
    69-60
  130. Q3 10:06
    Dwight Powell offensive rebound
  131. Q3 10:24
    Caleb Martin defensive rebound
  132. Q3 10:27
    Lakers misses three point jump shot
  133. Q3 10:39
    Deandre Ayton defensive rebound
  134. Q3 11:10
    +2
    Mavericks makes two point jump shot
    67-56
  135. Q3 11:48
    Mavericks misses three point jump shot
  136. Q2 00:00
    Lakers misses two point jump shot
  137. Q3 12:00
    Lakers lineup change (Jake LaRavia, LeBron James, Luka Doncic, Marcus Smart, Deandre Ayton)
  138. Q3 12:00
    Mavericks lineup change (Max Christie, Dwight Powell, Naji Marshall, Caleb Martin, Cooper Flagg)
  139. Q2 00:05
    Luka Doncic defensive rebound
  140. Q2 00:10
    Mavericks misses two point jump shot
  141. Q2 00:27
    Naji Marshall defensive rebound
  142. Q2 00:43
    Rui Hachimura defensive rebound
  143. Q2 00:59
    Cooper Flagg defensive rebound
  144. Q2 1:01
    +1
    Luka Doncic makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    65-52
  145. Q2 1:01
    Luka Doncic misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  146. Q2 1:17
    Lakers personal foul
  147. Q2 1:17
    Naji Marshall misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  148. Q2 1:17
    Mavericks offensive rebound
  149. Q2 1:17
    +1
    Naji Marshall makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    64-52
  150. Q2 1:26
    +3
    Lakers makes three point jump shot
    64-51
  151. Q2 1:51
    Lakers lineup change (Jake LaRavia, LeBron James, Luka Doncic, Rui Hachimura, Deandre Ayton)
  152. Q2 1:51
    Mavericks lineup change (Max Christie, Naji Marshall, Brandon Williams, Cooper Flagg, P.J. Washington)
  153. Q2 1:55
    Luka Doncic defensive rebound
  154. Q2 1:56
    Mavericks misses two point jump shot
  155. Q2 2:12
    +2
    Mavericks makes two point jump shot
    59-49
  156. Q2 2:31
    +2
    Lakers makes two point jump shot
    59-47
  157. Q2 2:39
    Jaxson Hayes defensive rebound
  158. Q2 2:57
    Mavericks misses three point jump shot
  159. Q2 3:23
    +2
    Mavericks makes two point jump shot
    57-47
  160. Q2 3:42
    Mavericks misses two point jump shot
  161. Q2 3:48
    Cooper Flagg defensive rebound
  162. Q2 4:13
    Lakers misses three point jump shot
  163. Q2 4:55
    Mavericks misses two point jump shot
  164. Q2 5:16
    Lakers lineup change (Jake LaRavia, Luka Doncic, Gabe Vincent, Jaxson Hayes, Drew Timme)
  165. Q2 5:18
    +3
    Lakers makes three point jump shot
    55-41
  166. Q2 5:30
    Mavericks turnover
  167. Q2 5:54
    Lakers personal foul
  168. Q2 5:54
    Mavericks lineup change (Max Christie, Dwight Powell, Naji Marshall, Brandon Williams, Cooper Flagg)
  169. Q2 5:54
    Lakers lineup change (Jake LaRavia, Luka Doncic, Gabe Vincent, Deandre Ayton, Drew Timme)
  170. Q2 6:09
    Naji Marshall defensive rebound
  171. Q2 6:26
    +2
    Mavericks makes two point jump shot
    50-40
  172. Q2 7:23
    LeBron James offensive rebound
  173. Q2 7:28
    Lakers misses two point jump shot
  174. Q2 7:31
    Drew Timme offensive rebound
  175. Q2 7:33
    Lakers misses three point jump shot
  176. Q2 7:46
    +3
    Mavericks makes three point jump shot
    46-38
  177. Q2 7:46
    Lakers lineup change (LeBron James, Luka Doncic, Marcus Smart, Deandre Ayton, Drew Timme)
  178. Q2 7:46
    Mavericks lineup change (Max Christie, Daniel Gafford, Naji Marshall, Cooper Flagg, P.J. Washington)
  179. Q2 7:54
    Deandre Ayton offensive rebound
  180. Q2 7:56
    Lakers misses two point jump shot
  181. Q2 7:58
    Deandre Ayton offensive rebound
  182. Q2 7:58
    Lakers misses two point jump shot
  183. Q2 8:03
    Lakers misses two point jump shot
  184. Q2 8:40
    Lakers misses two point jump shot
  185. Q2 8:40
    Deandre Ayton offensive rebound
  186. Q2 8:40
    Deandre Ayton misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  187. Q2 9:03
    +1
    Ryan Nembhard makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    45-34
  188. Q2 9:03
    Lakers lineup change (Jarred Vanderbilt, LeBron James, Marcus Smart, Deandre Ayton, Drew Timme)
  189. Q2 9:03
    +1
    Ryan Nembhard makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    45-35
  190. Q2 9:28
    +2
    Mavericks makes two point jump shot
    42-33
  191. Q2 9:34
    Caleb Martin defensive rebound
  192. Q2 9:54
    Mavericks misses two point jump shot
  193. Q2 9:56
    Dwight Powell offensive rebound
  194. Q2 10:40
    +3
    Mavericks makes three point jump shot
    40-31
  195. Q2 11:22
    Lakers personal foul
  196. Q2 11:22
    Klay Thompson misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  197. Q2 11:46
    Mavericks turnover
  198. Q1 00:00
    Mavericks offensive rebound
  199. Q1 00:00
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  200. Q1 00:00
    Mavericks offensive rebound
  201. Q1 00:00
    Mavericks misses three point jump shot
  202. Q1 00:00
    End of 1st Quarter.
  203. Q1 00:30
    +2
    Mavericks makes two point jump shot
    34-27
  204. Q1 00:30
    +1
    Brandon Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    34-28
  205. Q1 00:35
    Jeremiah Robinson-Earl defensive rebound
  206. Q1 00:37
    Mavericks personal foul
  207. Q1 00:37
    Jarred Vanderbilt misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  208. Q1 00:37
    Lakers lineup change (Jarred Vanderbilt, LeBron James, Marcus Smart, Rui Hachimura, Deandre Ayton)
  209. Q1 00:37
    Mavericks lineup change (Klay Thompson, Dwight Powell, Brandon Williams, Jeremiah Robinson-Earl, P.J. Washington)
  210. Q1 00:41
    Luka Doncic turnover (lost ball) (Klay Thompson steals)
  211. Q1 00:47
    +2
    Lakers makes two point jump shot
    34-25
  212. Q1 1:20
    +2
    Mavericks makes two point jump shot
    29-25
  213. Q1 1:39
    Mavericks turnover
  214. Q1 1:54
    Mavericks misses three point jump shot
  215. Q1 2:15
    Klay Thompson offensive rebound
  216. Q1 2:18
    Mavericks misses two point jump shot
  217. Q1 2:56
    +3
    Mavericks makes three point jump shot
    25-23
  218. Q1 3:04
    +1
    Luka Doncic makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    24-20
  219. Q1 3:04
    Lakers lineup change (Jarred Vanderbilt, Luka Doncic, Gabe Vincent, Jaxson Hayes, Rui Hachimura)
  220. Q1 3:04
    Mavericks lineup change (Klay Thompson, Daniel Gafford, Brandon Williams, Jeremiah Robinson-Earl, P.J. Washington)
  221. Q1 3:04
    +1
    Luka Doncic makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    25-20
  222. Q1 3:10
    Luka Doncic defensive rebound
  223. Q1 3:13
    Mavericks misses three point jump shot
  224. Q1 3:46
    +2
    Mavericks makes two point jump shot
    21-20
  225. Q1 4:20
    +2
    Mavericks makes two point jump shot
    18-18
  226. Q1 4:33
    Mavericks misses two point jump shot
  227. Q1 4:40
    Cooper Flagg defensive rebound
  228. Q1 4:56
    Mavericks misses two point jump shot
  229. Q1 5:02
    Naji Marshall defensive rebound
  230. Q1 5:16
    Rui Hachimura defensive rebound
  231. Q1 5:19
    Mavericks misses two point jump shot
  232. Q1 5:30
    +3
    Lakers makes three point jump shot
    16-16
  233. Q1 5:44
    Lakers turnover
  234. Q1 5:53
    Lakers personal foul
  235. Q1 5:53
    +1
    Naji Marshall makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    13-16
  236. Q1 6:08
    Mavericks personal foul
  237. Q1 6:08
    Lakers 60 second timeout
  238. Q1 6:08
    Mavericks lineup change (Max Christie, Dwight Powell, Naji Marshall, Brandon Williams, Cooper Flagg)
  239. Q1 6:08
    +1
    Luka Doncic makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    12-14
  240. Q1 6:08
    +1
    Luka Doncic makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    13-14
  241. Q1 6:24
    +3
    Mavericks makes three point jump shot
    11-14
  242. Q1 6:29
    Dwight Powell defensive rebound
  243. Q1 6:59
    +2
    Lakers makes two point jump shot
    11-11
  244. Q1 7:03
    LeBron James defensive rebound
  245. Q1 7:06
    Mavericks misses two point jump shot
  246. Q1 7:22
    Mavericks personal foul
  247. Q1 7:43
    +2
    Mavericks makes two point jump shot
    7-11
  248. Q1 7:57
    Marcus Smart offensive rebound
  249. Q1 7:57
    Lakers turnover
  250. Q1 8:11
    Caleb Martin defensive rebound
  251. Q1 8:15
    Lakers misses two point jump shot
  252. Q1 9:13
    Mavericks personal foul
  253. Q1 9:13
    Jake LaRavia misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  254. Q1 9:13
    +1
    Jake LaRavia makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    5-4
  255. Q1 9:21
    Mavericks misses two point jump shot
  256. Q1 9:42
    +1
    Luka Doncic makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    4-4
  257. Q1 9:45
    Marcus Smart defensive rebound
  258. Q1 9:53
    Cooper Flagg defensive rebound
  259. Q1 10:08
    +2
    Naji Marshall makes two point jump shot
    2-4
  260. Q1 10:23
    Lakers misses three point jump shot
  261. Q1 10:46
    Mavericks misses three point jump shot
  262. Q1 11:04
    Dwight Powell defensive rebound
  263. Q1 11:13
    Lakers misses two point jump shot
  264. Q1 11:29
    +2
    Mavericks makes two point jump shot
    2-2
  265. Q1 11:40
    +2
    Lakers makes two point jump shot
    2-0
  266. Q1 12:00
    Start of 1st Quarter
  267. Q1 12:00
    Lakers lineup change (Jake LaRavia, LeBron James, Luka Doncic, Marcus Smart, Deandre Ayton)
Box Score
Lakers
PosPlayerPts
Mavericks
PosPlayerPts

Lakers vs. Mavericks: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Lakers vs. Mavericks
  • Date: Saturday, January 24, 2026
  • Time: 8:30 PM ET
  • Venue: American Airlines Center

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Lakers favored at -4.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 234
  • Moneyline Odds: Lakers -167, Mavericks +152

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Lakers: 65%
  • Mavericks: 35%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Lakers 118-114 Mavericks.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Lakers a win probability of 65%, while the Mavericks have a win probability of 35%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Lakers are more likely to beat the Mavericks in the NBA game at American Airlines Center on Sunday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Lakers vs. Mavericks predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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