Heat vs. Jazz Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Heat vs. Jazz NBA game on January 24, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
Heat
147
116
Delta Center
Jazz
Delta Center
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Heat | 35 | 38 | 35 | 39 | 147 |
Jazz | 34 | 18 | 37 | 27 | 116 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
- Heat
- Jazz
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Heat | 35 | 38 | 35 | 39 | 147 |
Jazz | 34 | 18 | 37 | 27 | 116 |
Q4 00:00 Jazz makes three point jump shot
Q4 00:03 Jazz misses two point jump shot
Q4 00:53 Jazz misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:12 Jazz misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:25 Heat misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:50 Heat misses two point jump shot
Q4 2:12 Myron Gardner makes two point jump shot
Q4 2:52 Jazz misses three point jump shot
Q4 3:27 Heat makes three point jump shot
Q4 4:38 Heat makes two point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
- +3Jazz makes three point jump shot147-116
- End of 4th Quarter.
- Jazz misses two point jump shot
- +1Keshad Johnson makes regular free throw 2 of 2147-113
- +1Isaiah Collier makes regular free throw 1 of 2145-112
- +1Isaiah Collier makes regular free throw 2 of 2145-113
- Myron Gardner defensive rebound
- Jazz misses three point jump shot
- Simone Fontecchio defensive rebound
- Ace Bailey offensive rebound
- Jazz misses two point jump shot
- Kyle Filipowski offensive rebound
- Heat misses two point jump shot
- Jazz lineup change (Ace Bailey, Kyle Filipowski, Cody Williams, Keyonte George, Isaiah Collier)
- Heat misses two point jump shot
- Heat personal foul
- +1Cody Williams makes regular free throw 2 of 2140-111
- +2Myron Gardner makes two point jump shot140-110
- Heat personal foul
- Heat 60 second timeout
- Heat lineup change (Nikola Jovic, Myron Gardner, Dru Smith, Keshad Johnson, Simone Fontecchio)
- +1Isaiah Collier makes regular free throw 2 of 2138-110
- Jazz misses three point jump shot
- Jazz 60 second timeout
- +1Keyonte George makes regular free throw 2 of 3135-108
- +1Keyonte George makes regular free throw 3 of 3135-109
- +3Heat makes three point jump shot135-106
- Jazz personal foul
- Heat lineup change (Kasparas Jakucionis, Nikola Jovic, Dru Smith, Pelle Larsson, Simone Fontecchio)
- +1Nikola Jovic makes regular free throw 2 of 3132-106
- Heat lineup change (Kasparas Jakucionis, Nikola Jovic, Myron Gardner, Dru Smith, Simone Fontecchio)
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- Jazz lineup change (Ace Bailey, Jusuf Nurkic, Cody Williams, Keyonte George, Isaiah Collier)
- Heat turnover
- +2Heat makes two point jump shot130-106
- Dru Smith defensive rebound
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- +2Jazz makes two point jump shot128-106
- +3Heat makes three point jump shot128-104
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Nikola Jovic, Dru Smith, Pelle Larsson, Simone Fontecchio)
- Jazz lineup change (Ace Bailey, Jusuf Nurkic, Keyonte George, Isaiah Collier, Brice Sensabaugh)
- Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
- Jazz misses two point jump shot
- +2Heat makes two point jump shot122-102
- Heat misses two point jump shot
- Dru Smith offensive rebound
- Jazz misses two point jump shot
- +1Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 2120-102
- Heat 60 second timeout
- +2Jazz makes two point jump shot118-101
- Jazz lineup change (Jusuf Nurkic, Walter Clayton Jr., Keyonte George, Isaiah Collier, Brice Sensabaugh)
- Jusuf Nurkic defensive rebound
- Isaiah Collier defensive rebound
- Heat misses three point jump shot
- +3Heat makes three point jump shot118-97
- Dru Smith defensive rebound
- Heat misses three point jump shot
- Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Dru Smith, Bam Adebayo, Pelle Larsson, Simone Fontecchio)
- +3Heat makes three point jump shot115-97
- +2Jazz makes two point jump shot112-97
- Heat misses two point jump shot
- +1Nikola Jovic makes regular free throw 2 of 2112-95
- Jazz lineup change (Jusuf Nurkic, Cody Williams, Walter Clayton Jr., Isaiah Collier, Brice Sensabaugh)
- +3Jazz makes three point jump shot110-95
- Bam Adebayo offensive rebound
- Heat misses two point jump shot
- +1Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 2110-92
- Heat lineup change (Nikola Jovic, Dru Smith, Bam Adebayo, Pelle Larsson, Simone Fontecchio)
- Jazz turnover
- Isaiah Collier offensive rebound
- Heat misses three point jump shot
- Heat personal foul
- +1Isaiah Collier makes regular free throw 2 of 2108-92
- Brice Sensabaugh defensive rebound
- Heat personal foul
- +1Walter Clayton Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 2108-90
- Heat misses three point jump shot
- Heat lineup change (Nikola Jovic, Myron Gardner, Dru Smith, Bam Adebayo, Simone Fontecchio)
- Jazz lineup change (Ace Bailey, Kyle Anderson, Walter Clayton Jr., Isaiah Collier, Brice Sensabaugh)
- Dru Smith defensive rebound
- Myron Gardner defensive rebound
- Jazz misses three point jump shot
- Jazz misses two point jump shot
- Heat turnover
- Heat personal foul
- +1Keyonte George makes regular free throw 1 of 2106-88
- +3Heat makes three point jump shot104-84
- +3Jazz makes three point jump shot101-84
- Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Andrew Wiggins, Nikola Jovic, Dru Smith, Simone Fontecchio)
- +1Andrew Wiggins makes regular free throw 1 of 199-81
- +2Jazz makes two point jump shot96-81
- Kyle Filipowski defensive rebound
- Isaiah Collier defensive rebound
- Heat misses two point jump shot
- +3Heat makes three point jump shot96-77
- +2Jazz makes two point jump shot93-77
- Dru Smith offensive rebound
- Heat misses two point jump shot
- Jazz personal foul
- Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Andrew Wiggins, Nikola Jovic, Dru Smith, Norman Powell)
- Norman Powell misses regular free throw 2 of 2
- +2Jazz makes two point jump shot92-72
- Heat lineup change (Kasparas Jakucionis, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Andrew Wiggins, Nikola Jovic, Norman Powell)
- Jazz lineup change (Kyle Anderson, Kyle Filipowski, Cody Williams, Keyonte George, Isaiah Collier)
- Norman Powell defensive rebound
- Jazz misses two point jump shot
- +2Heat makes two point jump shot84-66
- Andrew Wiggins offensive rebound
- Svi Mykhailiuk defensive rebound
- Heat misses two point jump shot
- Heat personal foul
- +2Heat makes two point jump shot82-64
- Jazz defensive rebound
- Heat misses three point jump shot
- Jusuf Nurkic defensive rebound
- Heat misses three point jump shot
- Kasparas Jakucionis defensive rebound
- Jazz misses three point jump shot
- Andrew Wiggins offensive rebound
- Heat offensive rebound
- Heat offensive rebound
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- Jazz misses two point jump shot
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- +3Heat makes three point jump shot78-60
- Kasparas Jakucionis defensive rebound
- Heat turnover
- Heat 60 second timeout
- Heat misses two point jump shot
- +2Jazz makes two point jump shot75-58
- Jazz personal foul
- Jazz turnover
- +2Jazz makes two point jump shot73-56
- Heat personal foul
- Heat misses three point jump shot
- Jazz personal foul
- +2Jazz makes two point jump shot73-54
- Jump ball. (Pelle Larsson gains possession)
- Jazz misses three point jump shot
- Heat lineup change (Kasparas Jakucionis, Andrew Wiggins, Bam Adebayo, Pelle Larsson, Norman Powell)
- Heat misses two point jump shot
- Jazz turnover
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- Norman Powell misses regular free throw 1 of 2
- Heat offensive rebound
- Jazz misses two point jump shot
- +1Andrew Wiggins makes regular free throw 1 of 269-52
- Jazz lineup change (Jusuf Nurkic, Kyle Filipowski, Cody Williams, Keyonte George, Brice Sensabaugh)
- +1Andrew Wiggins makes regular free throw 2 of 270-52
- +2Jazz makes two point jump shot68-52
- +3Heat makes three point jump shot68-50
- +2Jazz makes two point jump shot65-50
- Jusuf Nurkic offensive rebound
- Jazz misses three point jump shot
- +3Heat makes three point jump shot65-48
- +2Jazz makes two point jump shot62-48
- +2Heat makes two point jump shot62-46
- Jazz personal foul
- Norman Powell misses regular free throw 1 of 2
- +1Norman Powell makes regular free throw 2 of 260-44
- Norman Powell defensive rebound
- Jazz lineup change (Ace Bailey, Jusuf Nurkic, Cody Williams, Svi Mykhailiuk, Keyonte George)
- Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Andrew Wiggins, Bam Adebayo, Pelle Larsson, Norman Powell)
- Heat defensive rebound
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- Heat misses three point jump shot
- Keyonte George misses regular free throw 1 of 2
- Jazz offensive rebound
- Heat turnover
- Jazz misses two point jump shot
- +2Heat makes two point jump shot57-43
- Jazz turnover
- Jazz misses two point jump shot
- +1Nikola Jovic makes regular free throw 2 of 253-43
- Jazz turnover
- +2Heat makes two point jump shot52-43
- Norman Powell defensive rebound
- Heat personal foul
- Jusuf Nurkic misses regular free throw 1 of 2
- Jump ball. (Norman Powell gains possession)
- Heat offensive rebound
- Instant replay
- Jazz 60 second timeout
- Heat offensive rebound
- Heat misses three point jump shot
- +2Jazz makes two point jump shot48-43
- Ace Bailey personal foul
- +1Pelle Larsson makes regular free throw 2 of 248-41
- Simone Fontecchio offensive rebound
- Heat misses three point jump shot
- +3Jazz makes three point jump shot46-41
- Heat misses three point jump shot
- Myron Gardner offensive rebound
- Dru Smith offensive rebound
- Heat misses three point jump shot
- Jazz misses three point jump shot
- +2Heat makes two point jump shot43-38
- Jazz personal foul
- +1Pelle Larsson makes regular free throw 1 of 144-38
- Heat turnover
- +2Jazz makes two point jump shot41-36
- Heat personal foul
- Dru Smith defensive rebound
- Jazz misses three point jump shot
- Brice Sensabaugh misses technical free throw 1 of 1
- Bam Adebayo offensive rebound
- Dru Smith defensive rebound
- Jazz personal foul
- Myron Gardner misses regular free throw 1 of 2
- Heat offensive rebound
- Myron Gardner misses regular free throw 2 of 2
- Jazz lineup change (Ace Bailey, Kyle Anderson, Kyle Filipowski, Walter Clayton Jr., Keyonte George)
- Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Nikola Jovic, Myron Gardner, Dru Smith, Bam Adebayo)
- Heat misses two point jump shot
- Jaime Jaquez Jr. offensive rebound
- Heat misses three point jump shot
- Jazz defensive rebound
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- +2Jazz makes two point jump shot35-31
- Brice Sensabaugh defensive rebound
- +1Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 234-29
- +1Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 235-29
- +2Jazz makes two point jump shot33-29
- Jazz personal foul
- +1Nikola Jovic makes regular free throw 1 of 232-27
- Jazz turnover
- +2Heat makes two point jump shot31-27
- Heat personal foul
- Heat misses three point jump shot
- Heat turnover
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- Heat 60 second timeout
- Instant replay
- Jazz lineup change (Kyle Anderson, Kyle Filipowski, Keyonte George, Isaiah Collier, Brice Sensabaugh)
- Dru Smith defensive rebound
- Jazz misses two point jump shot
- Simone Fontecchio defensive rebound
- Jazz misses two point jump shot
- Nikola Jovic misses regular free throw 1 of 2
- Heat offensive rebound
- Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Nikola Jovic, Dru Smith, Bam Adebayo, Simone Fontecchio)
- +1Nikola Jovic makes regular free throw 2 of 227-23
- +2Jazz makes two point jump shot26-23
- Nikola Jovic offensive rebound
- Kasparas Jakucionis defensive rebound
- Jazz lineup change (Kyle Anderson, Kyle Filipowski, Cody Williams, Isaiah Collier, Brice Sensabaugh)
- +1Norman Powell makes regular free throw 2 of 226-21
- Jusuf Nurkic defensive rebound
- Jaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- +2Heat makes two point jump shot23-19
- Jazz personal foul
- Jazz lineup change (Jusuf Nurkic, Kyle Filipowski, Cody Williams, Keyonte George, Isaiah Collier)
- +1Jaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 124-19
- Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
- Jazz misses two point jump shot
- Andrew Wiggins offensive rebound
- Heat misses three point jump shot
- Heat misses two point jump shot
- Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
- +2Heat makes two point jump shot16-17
- +2Heat makes two point jump shot14-15
- Svi Mykhailiuk offensive rebound
- Jazz misses three point jump shot
- Andrew Wiggins defensive rebound
- Jazz misses three point jump shot
- +2Heat makes two point jump shot9-13
- Jazz 60 second timeout
- +2Jazz makes two point jump shot7-13
- +3Heat makes three point jump shot7-11
- Jazz personal foul
- Jazz misses three point jump shot
- Heat personal foul
- +1Svi Mykhailiuk makes regular free throw 1 of 24-10
- +1Svi Mykhailiuk makes regular free throw 2 of 24-11
- Heat turnover
- +2Jazz makes two point jump shot4-8
- Heat personal foul
- Norman Powell defensive rebound
- Jazz misses two point jump shot
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- Heat violation
- Heat personal foul
- +2Jazz makes two point jump shot2-6
- Heat misses three point jump shot
- Heat misses two point jump shot
- Heat lineup change (Kasparas Jakucionis, Andrew Wiggins, Bam Adebayo, Pelle Larsson, Norman Powell)
- (Svi Mykhailiuk gains possession)
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pos | Player | Pts | |
|---|---|---|---|
Heat vs. Jazz: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Heat vs. Jazz
- Date: Saturday, January 24, 2026
- Time: 9:30 PM ET
- Venue: Delta Center
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Heat favored at -6.5
- Total (Over/Under): 244.5
- Moneyline Odds: Heat -245, Jazz +210
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Heat: 72%
- Jazz: 28%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Heat 124-117 Jazz.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Heat a win probability of 72%, while the Jazz have a win probability of 28%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Heat are more likely to beat the Jazz in the NBA game at Delta Center on Sunday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Heat vs. Jazz predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
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