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Heat vs. Kings prediction: Miami favored to win Tuesday's NBA game [1/20/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Miami Heat vs Sacramento Kings predictions for NBA Tuesday.
The Sacramento Kings will square off with the Miami Heat in NBA action at Golden 1 Center on Tuesday, commencing at 10:00 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulations and today’s injury news, Dimers' advanced NBA model projects the Heat as the most likely winner of the Heat vs. Kings game.
This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Kings lineup will feature stars like DeMar DeRozan, Zach LaVine and Russell Westbrook, while the Heat will look to Norman Powell, Bam Adebayo and Andrew Wiggins.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Tuesday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.
Heat vs. Kings prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Tuesday's NBA matchup between the Heat and Kings 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently gives the Heat a 63% chance of beating the Kings. Our predicted final score has the Heat winning 119-115.
According to our model, the Heat (-3.5) have a 52% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 237.5 points has a 54% chance of staying under.
Heat vs. Kings odds
We have researched the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Heat | Kings |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -3.5 (-110) | +3.5 (-108) |
| Moneyline | -162 | +136 |
| Total | o237.5 (-112) | u237.5 (-108) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Heat vs. Kings picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Heat -3.5 | -110 |
| Moneyline | Heat | -162 |
| Total | Under 237.5 | -108 |
According to our best NBA bets for Tuesday, the top play to make on this game is Under 237.5 total points.
Heat vs. Kings player props
Betting on Heat vs. Kings NBA prop bets? We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Golden 1 Center.
Norman Powell is expected to lead the Heat with 22 points, 4 rebounds and 3 assists, while DeMar DeRozan is projected to have 20 points, 4 rebounds and 4 assists for the Kings.
Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.
Heat prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Heat are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Norman Powell | 22 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 36 |
| Bam Adebayo | 18 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 42 |
| Andrew Wiggins | 16 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 32 |
| Jaime Jaquez | 15 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 30 |
| Pelle Larsson | 11 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 25 |
Kings prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Kings:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeMar DeRozan | 20 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 35 |
| Zach LaVine | 19 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 31 |
| R. Westbrook | 17 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 42 |
| D. Sabonis | 13 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 33 |
| Malik Monk | 12 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 23 |
Heat vs. Kings game-day updates and essential details
Tuesday's action between the Kings and Heat at Golden 1 Center is scheduled to begin at 10:00 PM ET.
- Who: Miami Heat vs. Sacramento Kings
- Date: Tuesday, January 20, 2026
- Time: 10:00 PM ET/7:00PM PT
- Venue: Golden 1 Center
Conclusion
We predict the Heat, with a 63% win probability, will likely beat the Kings on Tuesday, with Russell Westbrook projected for a game-high 42 fantasy points.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Heat vs. Kings insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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