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Heat vs. Kings Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Heat vs. Kings NBA game on January 20, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
130
117
Jan 21, 3AM Golden 1 Center
Jan 21, 3AM Golden 1 Center
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Heat | 32 | 23 | 58 | 17 | 130 |
Kings | 25 | 21 | 53 | 18 | 117 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
>99%
<1%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Heat | 32 | 23 | 58 | 17 | 130 |
Kings | 25 | 21 | 53 | 18 | 117 |
Q4 00:29 Jaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point pullup jump shot
Q4 00:43 Heat misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:04 Heat makes three point jump shot
Q4 1:28 Kings misses two point jump shot
Q4 2:31 Kings misses three point jump shot
Q4 2:57 Heat makes two point jump shot
Q4 3:03 Nikola Jovic misses two point jump shot
Q4 3:43 Heat misses three point jump shot
Q4 3:58 Kings makes two point jump shot
Q4 4:15 Kings makes two point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
End of 4th Quarter.
+2
Jaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point pullup jump shot
130-114
Heat misses three point jump shot
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
128-112
+1
Pelle Larsson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
125-112
DeMar DeRozan personal foul (Pelle Larsson draws the foul)
Heat offensive rebound
Kings misses two point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Kings lineup change (DeMar DeRozan, Malik Monk, Dylan Cardwell, Zach LaVine, Russell Westbrook)
Jaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound
Kings misses three point jump shot
DeMar DeRozan defensive rebound
Nikola Jovic defensive rebound
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
124-112
Jaime Jaquez Jr. offensive rebound
Nikola Jovic misses two point jump shot
Kings turnover
Instant replay
Dylan Cardwell defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+2
Kings makes two point jump shot
124-112
Kings personal foul
+2
Kings makes two point jump shot
124-112
Kings turnover
Heat misses two point jump shot
DeMar DeRozan turnover (out of bounds bad pass)
Dylan Cardwell defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+2
Kings makes two point jump shot
124-112
Heat 60 second timeout
Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Pelle Larsson, Norman Powell, Andrew Wiggins, Nikola Jovic)
Nique Clifford offensive rebound
DeMar DeRozan defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
113-99
Simone Fontecchio defensive rebound
Pelle Larsson offensive rebound
Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Pelle Larsson, Simone Fontecchio, Bam Adebayo, Myron Gardner)
+2
Kings makes two point jump shot
113-99
Bam Adebayo misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Heat offensive rebound
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 2
113-99
+3
Malik Monk makes three point jump shot (DeMar DeRozan assists)
113-99
Dylan Cardwell offensive rebound
Kings misses two point jump shot
Heat misses three point jump shot
Kings turnover
Dylan Cardwell defensive rebound
Pelle Larsson misses two point jump shot
Kings personal foul
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 2
100-89
Heat lineup change (Pelle Larsson, Simone Fontecchio, Bam Adebayo, Kasparas Jakucionis, Myron Gardner)
Simone Fontecchio misses three point jump shot
Kings misses three point jump shot
Bam Adebayo misses two point jump shot
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Malik Monk misses three point jump shot
Heat misses two point jump shot
Jaime Jaquez Jr. offensive rebound
Kasparas Jakucionis offensive rebound
Simone Fontecchio misses three point jump shot
Jaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound
DeMar DeRozan misses three point jump shot
Jaime Jaquez Jr. misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot
Kasparas Jakucionis shooting foul (DeMar DeRozan draws the foul)
+1
DeMar DeRozan makes regular free throw 2 of 2
100-89
+1
Malik Monk makes regular free throw 1 of 2
110-96
+1
Malik Monk makes regular free throw 2 of 2
110-96
Dennis Schroder personal foul
Dennis Schroder turnover (offensive foul)
Heat personal foul
+1
DeMar DeRozan makes regular free throw 1 of 2
100-89
+1
DeMar DeRozan makes regular free throw 2 of 2
104-91
Kasparas Jakucionis misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Domantas Sabonis offensive rebound
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
92-76
Dennis Schroder misses two point jump shot
Nikola Jovic misses two point jump shot
Nikola Jovic defensive rebound
Domantas Sabonis misses two point jump shot
Nikola Jovic defensive rebound
Kings lineup change (Malik Monk, Domantas Sabonis, Dylan Cardwell, Nique Clifford, Dennis Schroder)
Precious Achiuwa defensive rebound
Davion Mitchell defensive rebound
+2
Norman Powell makes two point jump shot
92-76
Andrew Wiggins misses three point jump shot
Kings lineup change (Malik Monk, Domantas Sabonis, Precious Achiuwa, Nique Clifford, Russell Westbrook)
+1
Precious Achiuwa makes regular free throw 1 of 2
92-76
Kings misses three point jump shot
+2
Norman Powell makes two point layup
92-76
Kings misses two point jump shot
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Kings misses two point jump shot
+2
Andrew Wiggins makes two point jump shot
92-76
Andrew Wiggins defensive rebound
Russell Westbrook misses three point jump shot
Kings 60 second timeout
Heat personal foul
+3
Bam Adebayo makes three point jump shot
82-74
+2
Kings makes two point jump shot
82-74
Maxime Raynaud defensive rebound
Pelle Larsson shooting foul (DeMar DeRozan draws the foul)
+1
DeMar DeRozan makes regular free throw 1 of 2
82-74
Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Norman Powell, Bam Adebayo, Andrew Wiggins, Davion Mitchell)
Maxime Raynaud defensive rebound
Heat personal foul
Davion Mitchell defensive rebound
Heat turnover
Precious Achiuwa defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+2
Precious Achiuwa makes two point running layup
82-74
Heat turnover
Heat personal foul
Heat 60 second timeout
Instant replay
Precious Achiuwa misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Precious Achiuwa misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Precious Achiuwa turnover (out of bounds lost ball)
Heat offensive rebound
Malik Monk misses three point jump shot
Kings offensive rebound
Kings lineup change (DeMar DeRozan, Precious Achiuwa, Zach LaVine, Maxime Raynaud, Russell Westbrook)
Maxime Raynaud defensive rebound
+1
Andrew Wiggins makes regular free throw 1 of 2
55-46
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
55-46
Pelle Larsson shooting foul (Russell Westbrook draws the foul)
Kings offensive rebound
Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Norman Powell, Bam Adebayo, Andrew Wiggins, Davion Mitchell)
+2
Pelle Larsson makes two point jump shot
55-46
Kings misses three point jump shot
+3
Kings makes three point jump shot
55-46
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Domantas Sabonis personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)
Bam Adebayo misses regular free throw 2 of 2
+2
Maxime Raynaud makes two point driving dunk (Zach LaVine assists)
55-46
Jaime Jaquez Jr. misses two point driving floating jump shot
+1
DeMar DeRozan makes regular free throw 1 of 2
55-46
Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Pelle Larsson, Norman Powell, Bam Adebayo, Andrew Wiggins)
+3
Andrew Wiggins makes three point jump shot (Norman Powell assists)
55-46
Jaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound
Domantas Sabonis misses regular free throw 1 of 1
Norman Powell defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Domantas Sabonis defensive rebound
Kings 60 second timeout
Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Pelle Larsson, Norman Powell, Andrew Wiggins, Nikola Jovic)
Kings turnover
Domantas Sabonis defensive rebound
Kings lineup change (DeMar DeRozan, Domantas Sabonis, Zach LaVine, Nique Clifford, Russell Westbrook)
Domantas Sabonis defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Kings personal foul
Kings personal foul
+1
Bam Adebayo makes technical free throw 1 of 1
52-44
Kings misses two point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
51-42
+1
DeMar DeRozan makes regular free throw 2 of 2
49-42
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
49-40
Heat lineup change (Pelle Larsson, Simone Fontecchio, Bam Adebayo, Davion Mitchell, Myron Gardner)
+2
Kings makes two point jump shot
46-40
+2
Kings makes two point jump shot
43-38
Kings lineup change (DeMar DeRozan, Malik Monk, Dylan Cardwell, Nique Clifford, Russell Westbrook)
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
43-36
Kings misses two point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
40-36
Heat lineup change (Pelle Larsson, Simone Fontecchio, Bam Adebayo, Kasparas Jakucionis, Myron Gardner)
+2
Kings makes two point jump shot
38-36
Heat misses three point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
37-32
+2
Kings makes two point jump shot
35-32
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
35-30
Dennis Schroder defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Zach LaVine defensive rebound
Heat turnover
Simone Fontecchio defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Instant replay
Kings lineup change (Malik Monk, Dylan Cardwell, Zach LaVine, Maxime Raynaud, Dennis Schroder)
Kings personal foul
Heat offensive rebound
Kings lineup change (Malik Monk, Domantas Sabonis, Zach LaVine, Nique Clifford, Dennis Schroder)
Kings misses three point jump shot
Kings misses three point jump shot
Heat 60 second timeout
Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Simone Fontecchio, Bam Adebayo, Kasparas Jakucionis, Nikola Jovic)
Dylan Cardwell offensive rebound
Domantas Sabonis defensive rebound
Jaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound
Kings misses three point jump shot
Domantas Sabonis defensive rebound
Nikola Jovic defensive rebound
+2
Kings makes two point jump shot
23-18
Kings personal foul
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Kings lineup change (Malik Monk, Domantas Sabonis, Dylan Cardwell, Nique Clifford, Dennis Schroder)
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
22-16
Domantas Sabonis defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Kasparas Jakucionis misses three point jump shot
Simone Fontecchio misses two point putback layup
Precious Achiuwa turnover (offensive foul)
Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Norman Powell, Simone Fontecchio, Kasparas Jakucionis, Nikola Jovic)
Andrew Wiggins turnover (out of bounds lost ball)
+3
Norman Powell makes three point jump shot (Nikola Jovic assists)
19-11
Heat offensive rebound
+3
Nique Clifford makes three point jump shot (Zach LaVine assists)
16-11
Davion Mitchell defensive rebound
DeMar DeRozan misses three point jump shot
+2
Jaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point tip layup
16-8
+2
Russell Westbrook makes two point driving layup
14-8
Norman Powell misses two point pullup jump shot
Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Norman Powell, Andrew Wiggins, Davion Mitchell, Nikola Jovic)
+2
Pelle Larsson makes two point running layup (Davion Mitchell assists)
14-6
Davion Mitchell defensive rebound
+2
Bam Adebayo makes two point running dunk (Davion Mitchell assists)
12-6
Precious Achiuwa defensive rebound
+2
Zach LaVine makes two point driving reverse layup
10-6
Pelle Larsson defensive rebound
Norman Powell turnover (out of bounds step)
Precious Achiuwa defensive rebound
Pelle Larsson defensive rebound
Kings offensive rebound
Maxime Raynaud misses two point hook shot
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
+3
Norman Powell makes three point running pullup jump shot (Davion Mitchell assists)
6-2
Zach LaVine misses two point turnaround jump shot
Russell Westbrook blocks Andrew Wiggins's two point layup
Andrew Wiggins defensive rebound
Maxime Raynaud defensive rebound
+2
Zach LaVine makes two point pullup jump shot (DeMar DeRozan assists)
0-2
Davion Mitchell misses two point pullup jump shot
Russell Westbrook turnover (bad pass) (Andrew Wiggins steals)
Bam Adebayo misses two point layup
Kings lineup change (DeMar DeRozan, Precious Achiuwa, Zach LaVine, Maxime Raynaud, Russell Westbrook)
Start of 1st Quarter
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F | 22 | A. Wiggins | 19 | 3 | 2 |
| F | 5 | N. Jovic | 8 | 5 | 2 |
| G | 11 | J. Jaquez Jr. | 13 | 10 | 3 |
| F | 9 | P. Larsson | 16 | 6 | 9 |
| G | 24 | N. Powell | 22 | 3 | 2 |
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 18 | R. Westbrook | 22 | 2 | 7 |
| G | 5 | N. Clifford | 9 | 3 | 1 |
| G | 8 | Z. LaVine | 18 | 1 | 5 |
| G | 0 | M. Monk | 18 | 2 | 2 |
| C | 32 | D. Cardwell | 4 | 12 | 1 |
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Heat vs. Kings: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Heat vs. Kings
- Date: Tuesday, January 20, 2026
- Time: 10:00 PM ET
- Venue: Golden 1 Center
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Heat favored at -4.5
- Total (Over/Under): 238.5
- Moneyline Odds: Heat -167, Kings +152
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Heat: 67%
- Kings: 33%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Heat 120-115 Kings.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Heat a win probability of 67%, while the Kings have a win probability of 33%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Heat are more likely to beat the Kings in the NBA game at Golden 1 Center on Wednesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Heat vs. Kings predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.
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