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Heat vs. Trail Blazers prediction: Why Portland is favored to win Thursday's NBA game [1/22/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get Miami Heat vs Portland Trail Blazers predictions for NBA Thursday.
The Portland Trail Blazers will face the Miami Heat in NBA action at Moda Center on Thursday, starting at 10:00 PM ET.
Based on updated simulations and today’s injury updates, Dimers' proven NBA model predicts the Trail Blazers as the most likely winner of the Heat vs. Trail Blazers game.
This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Trail Blazers lineup will feature players like Deni Avdija, Shaedon Sharpe and Jerami Grant, while the Heat will be led by Norman Powell, Jaime Jaquez and Bam Adebayo.
This article offers further insights into Thursday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.
Heat vs. Blazers prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Thursday's NBA matchup between the Heat and Trail Blazers 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model gives the Trail Blazers a 63% chance of defeating the Heat. Our predicted final score has the Trail Blazers winning 119-115.
According to our model, the Heat (+3.5) have a 52% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 236.5 points has a 53% chance of staying under.
Heat vs. Trail Blazers odds
We have sourced the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Heat | Trail Blazers |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +3.5 (-108) | -3.5 (-108) |
| Moneyline | +136 | -158 |
| Total | o236.5 (-105) | u236.5 (-115) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Heat vs. Trail Blazers picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Heat +3.5 | -108 |
| Moneyline | Heat | +136 |
| Total | Under 236.5 | -115 |
According to our best NBA bets for Thursday, the top play to make on this game is Heat +3.5 at the spread.
Heat vs. Trail Blazers player props
Betting on Heat vs. Trail Blazers NBA prop bets? We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Moda Center.
Norman Powell is expected to lead the Heat with 22 points, 4 rebounds and 3 assists, while Deni Avdija is projected to have 27 points, 7 rebounds and 7 assists for the Trail Blazers.
Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.
Heat prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Heat are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Norman Powell | 22 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 36 |
| Jaime Jaquez | 20 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 43 |
| Bam Adebayo | 18 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 41 |
| Andrew Wiggins | 17 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 35 |
| Pelle Larsson | 12 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 27 |
Trail Blazers prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Trail Blazers:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deni Avdija | 27 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 52 |
| Shaedon Sharpe | 23 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 39 |
| Jerami Grant | 13 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 24 |
| Toumani Camara | 13 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 29 |
| Donovan Clingan | 12 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 35 |
Heat vs. Blazers game-day updates and essential details
Thursday's matchup between the Trail Blazers and Heat at Moda Center is scheduled to begin at 10:00 PM ET.
- Who: Miami Heat vs. Portland Trail Blazers
- Date: Thursday, January 22, 2026
- Time: 10:00 PM ET/7:00PM PT
- Venue: Moda Center
Conclusion
We predict the Trail Blazers, with a 63% win probability, will likely beat the Heat on Thursday, with Deni Avdija projected for a game-high 52 fantasy points.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Heat vs. Trail Blazers insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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