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Dolphins vs. Jets prediction: Miami favored to win in NFL Week 14, 2025
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get Miami Dolphins vs New York Jets predictions for NFL Sunday.
The New York Jets will square off with the Miami Dolphins in NFL Week 14 action at MetLife Stadium on Sunday, commencing at 1:00PM ET.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven NFL model projects the Dolphins as the most likely winner of the Dolphins vs. Jets game.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Sunday's matchup, including projected touchdown scorers, best bets and player prop picks.
Dolphins vs. Jets prediction: Who will win and cover?
Since our Dolphins-Jets predictions earlier in the week, we have simulated the result of Sunday's NFL matchup between the Dolphins and Jets 10,000 times as part of our NFL predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model gives the Dolphins a 61% chance of beating the Jets in Week 14 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the Dolphins winning 22-19.
According to our model, the bookmakers have got it right, and the Dolphins and Jets each have a 50% chance of covering the spread, while the 41.5-point over/under also has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
To see win probabilities for every matchup this week, check out our expert NFL Week 14 straight up picks.
Dolphins vs. Jets odds
We have researched the best NFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Dolphins | Jets |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -2.5 (-115) | +2.5 (-102) |
| Moneyline | -145 | +126 |
| Total | o41.5 (-108) | u41.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Dolphins vs. Jets picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Jets +2.5 | -102 |
| Moneyline | Dolphins | -145 |
| Total | Over 41.5 | -108 |
According to our best NFL bets, the top play to make on this game is Dolphins to win.
Dolphins vs. Jets TD scorers
Who will score a touchdown in Dolphins vs. Jets?
According to our list of touchdown scorer predictions for today, De'Von Achane is most likely to score an anytime TD in Dolphins vs. Jets.
Our projections give Achane a 56.8% chance of scoring a TD at MetLife Stadium, while the running back is a 15.7% chance of scoring the first touchdown the game.
Anytime touchdown scorer predictions
Miami Dolphins
| Player | Anytime TD Probability |
|---|---|
| De'Von Achane (RB) | 56.8% |
| Jaylen Waddle (WR) | 33.1% |
| Darren Waller (TE) | 27.6% |
| Ollie Gordon (RB) | 23.5% |
| Malik Washington (WR) | 21.7% |
New York Jets
| Player | Anytime TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Breece Hall (RB) | 40.8% |
| Adonai Mitchell (WR) | 26.2% |
| John Metchie (WR) | 24.5% |
| Mason Taylor (TE) | 20.6% |
| Tyrod Taylor (QB) | 16.2% |
First touchdown scorer predictions
Miami Dolphins
| Player | First TD Probability |
|---|---|
| De'Von Achane (RB) | 15.7% |
| Jaylen Waddle (WR) | 7.5% |
| Darren Waller (TE) | 6.0% |
| Ollie Gordon (RB) | 5.0% |
| Malik Washington (WR) | 4.6% |
New York Jets
| Player | First TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Breece Hall (RB) | 11.6% |
| Adonai Mitchell (WR) | 6.7% |
| John Metchie (WR) | 6.2% |
| Mason Taylor (TE) | 5.1% |
| Tyrod Taylor (QB) | 3.9% |
Dolphins vs Jets player props
Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Dolphins and Jets. Head to our NFL player projections page now to access a full list of player prop projections for every offensive player in this matchup and all other Week 14 games.
Quarterbacks
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Dolphins' Tua Tagovailoa is projected for 212 passing yards, while the Jets' Tyrod Taylor is expected to throw for 193 yards.
| Player | Proj. Pass Yards |
|---|---|
| Tua Tagovailoa (MIA) | 212 |
| Tyrod Taylor (NYJ) | 193 |
Dolphins rushing
| Player | Proj. Rush Yards |
|---|---|
| De'Von Achane | 87 |
| Ollie Gordon | 17 |
| Jaylen Wright | 12 |
Jets rushing
| Player | Proj. Rush Yards |
|---|---|
| Breece Hall | 75 |
| Tyrod Taylor | 28 |
| Isaiah Davis | 15 |
Dolphins receiving
| Player | Proj. Rec. Yards |
|---|---|
| Jaylen Waddle | 70 |
| Darren Waller | 35 |
| De'Von Achane | 33 |
| Malik Washington | 32 |
| Greg Dulcich | 14 |
Jets receiving
| Player | Proj. Rec. Yards |
|---|---|
| Adonai Mitchell | 55 |
| John Metchie | 43 |
| Mason Taylor | 31 |
| Breece Hall | 22 |
| Jeremy Ruckert | 11 |
Dolphins vs. Jets game-day updates and essential details
The NFL Week 14 action between the Jets and Dolphins at MetLife Stadium is scheduled to begin at 1:00PM ET.
- Who: Miami Dolphins vs. New York Jets
- Date: Sunday, December 7, 2025
- Time: 1:00PM ET/10:00AM PT
- Venue: MetLife Stadium
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Conclusion
We predict the Dolphins, with a 61% win probability, will likely beat the Jets in Week 14 of the NFL season.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Dolphins vs. Jets insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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