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Dolphins vs. Packers Prediction: Green Bay Predicted to Win Thanksgiving Day NFL Matchup [2024]
Our expert prediction for Thursday's Miami Dolphins vs Green Bay Packers matchup.
The Green Bay Packers and Miami Dolphins will meet on Thanksgiving Day in Week 13 of the NFL season at Lambeau Field on Thanksgiving Day, with kickoff at 8:20PM ET.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' proven NFL model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Packers as the most likely winner of today's game.
"Using the latest data, our experts simulated Thursday's Miami-Green Bay game 10,000 times," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.
"Taking into account recent updates and various additional inputs, we forecast the Packers with a win probability of 61% and the Dolphins with 39%."
This updated Dolphins vs. Packers betting preview builds on my early Dolphins vs. Packers prediction that I released at the start of the week.
For further insights into today’s game, including the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks, visit our interactive Dolphins vs. Packers predictions page.
Plus, check out our analysis of the most likely touchdown scorers for each 2024 NFL Thanksgiving matchup.
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Dolphins vs. Packers Game-Day Updates and Essential Details
The NFL Week 13 matchup between the Packers and Dolphins at Lambeau Field is scheduled to start at 8:20PM ET.
- Who: Miami Dolphins vs. Green Bay Packers
- Date: Thursday, November 28, 2024 (Thanksgiving Day)
- Time: 8:20PM ET/5:20PM PT
- Venue: Lambeau Field
- Tickets: Get tickets for the game on Ticketmaster
- Merchandise: Buy Packers and Dolphins gear at Fanatics
Dimers.com's full preview of this week's Dolphins vs. Packers matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.
Before making any Miami vs. Green Bay picks, be sure to check out the latest NFL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.
Dolphins vs. Packers Predictions
Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Thursday's NFL game between the Dolphins and Packers 10,000 times as part of our NFL predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently gives the Packers a 61% chance of beating the Dolphins in Week 13 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the Packers winning 25-22.
According to our model, the Dolphins (+3.5) have a 59% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 47.5 points has a 52% chance of staying under.
Along with our Dolphins vs. Packers predictions, we've also prepared the following for this week's action:
Dolphins vs. Packers Odds
We have researched the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Dolphins | Packers |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +3.5 (-115) | -3.5 (-104) |
| Moneyline | +156 | -180 |
| Total | o47.5 (-110) | u47.5 (-105) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Dolphins vs. Packers Picks
Our model's strongest edge in today's Dolphins vs. Packers matchup is on the over/under.
Our expert predictions, matched against the current odds, reveal the best NFL picks for every game throughout the season.
Unlimited access to our full set of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.
Dolphins vs. Packers TD Scorers
Who will score the first touchdown in Dolphins vs. Packers?
According to our model, Green Bay's Josh Jacobs is most likely to score the first TD in Dolphins vs. Packers.
Our projections give Jacobs a 13.0% chance of scoring the first TD at Lambeau Field, while the Packers RB is a 54.0% chance of reaching the end zone at any point during the game.
First Touchdown Scorer Predictions
Miami Dolphins
| Player | First TD Probability |
|---|---|
| De'Von Achane | 11.5% |
| Jonnu Smith | 7.4% |
| Tyreek Hill | 7.1% |
Green Bay Packers
| Player | First TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Josh Jacobs | 13.0% |
| Jayden Reed | 8.2% |
| Christian Watson | 6.2% |
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Predictions
Miami Dolphins
| Player | Anytime TD Probability |
|---|---|
| De'Von Achane | 48.6% |
| Jonnu Smith | 34.1% |
| Tyreek Hill | 33.1% |
Green Bay Packers
| Player | Anytime TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Josh Jacobs | 54.0% |
| Jayden Reed | 36.4% |
| Christian Watson | 28.9% |
Dolphins vs Packers Player Props
Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Dolphins and Packers. For detailed projections, join Dimers Pro.
Already a Dimers Pro member? Head to our Dolphins-Packers page now to access every player prop projection.
Dolphins vs. Packers Quarterbacks
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Dolphins' Tua Tagovailoa is projected to throw for fewer yards than the Packers' Jordan Love.
Dolphins Rushing
De'Von Achane, Jaylen Wright and Raheem Mostert are projected to be the leading rushers for the Dolphins.
| Player | Position |
|---|---|
| De'Von Achane | RB |
| Jaylen Wright | RB |
| Raheem Mostert | RB |
Packers Rushing
Josh Jacobs, Emanuel Wilson and Jordan Love are expected to lead the Packers in rushing yards.
| Player | Position |
|---|---|
| Josh Jacobs | RB |
| Emanuel Wilson | RB |
| Jordan Love | QB |
Dolphins Receiving
Tyreek Hill, Jaylen Waddle, Jonnu Smith, De'Von Achane and Odell Beckham are projected to top the receiving yards for the Dolphins.
| Player | Position |
|---|---|
| Tyreek Hill | WR |
| Jaylen Waddle | WR |
| Jonnu Smith | TE |
| De'Von Achane | RB |
| Odell Beckham | WR |
Packers Receiving
Jayden Reed, Tucker Kraft, Christian Watson, Dontayvion Wicks and Josh Jacobs are projected to lead the Packers in receiving yards.
| Player | Position |
|---|---|
| Jayden Reed | WR |
| Tucker Kraft | TE |
| Christian Watson | WR |
| Dontayvion Wicks | WR |
| Josh Jacobs | RB |
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Conclusion
We predict the Packers, with a 61% win probability, will likely beat the Dolphins on Thanksgiving Day.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Dolphins vs. Packers insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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More on NFL
Keep up with the latest NFL news, NFL best bets and NFL parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our Super Bowl odds provide the latest projections for the Super Bowl, AFC, NFC and each division.
Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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