Dolphins vs. Falcons prediction: Why Atlanta is favored to win in NFL Week 8, 2025

The Atlanta Falcons and Miami Dolphins are scheduled to meet in Week 8 of the NFL season at Mercedes-Benz Stadium on Sunday, with kickoff at 1:00PM ET.

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced NFL model predicts the Falcons as the most likely winner of the Dolphins vs. Falcons game.

This article offers a closer look at Sunday's matchup, including touchdown scorer projections, best bets and player prop picks.

Dolphins vs. Falcons prediction: Who will win, cover the spread?

Since our Dolphins-Falcons predictions earlier in the week, we have simulated the result of Sunday's NFL game between the Dolphins and Falcons 10,000 times as part of our NFL predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently gives the Falcons a 73% chance of beating the Dolphins in Week 8 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the Falcons winning 25-19.

According to our model, the bookies have got it right, and the Dolphins and Falcons each have a 50% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 44 points has a 52% chance of going over.

To see win probabilities for every matchup this week, check out our expert NFL Week 8 straight up picks.

Dolphins vs. Falcons odds

We have sourced the best NFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Dolphins	Falcons
Spread	+6.5 (-102)	-6.5 (-120)
Moneyline	+280	-340
Total	o44 (-110)	u44 (-110)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Dolphins vs. Falcons picks and best bet

Our probabilities, matched with the best odds, reveal the top betting picks for this game, detailed in Dimers' NFL best bets, crafted from expert modeling and analysis:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Spread	Dolphins +6.5	-102
Moneyline	Dolphins	+280
Total	Over 44	-110

According to our best NFL bets, the top play to make on this game is Dolphins moneyline.

Dolphins vs. Falcons TD scorers

Who will score a touchdown in Dolphins vs. Falcons?

According to our list of touchdown scorer predictions for today, Bijan Robinson is most likely to score an anytime touchdown in Dolphins vs. Falcons.

Our projections give Robinson a 61.5% chance of scoring a TD at Mercedes-Benz Stadium, while the running back is a 20.4% chance of scoring the first touchdown the game.

Anytime touchdown scorer predictions

Miami Dolphins

Player	Anytime TD Probability
De'Von Achane (RB)	53.1%
Jaylen Waddle (WR)	31.0%
Malik Washington (WR)	18.3%
Nick Westbrook-Ikhine (WR)	16.6%
Ollie Gordon (RB)	16.4%

Atlanta Falcons

Player	Anytime TD Probability
Bijan Robinson (RB)	61.5%
Tyler Allgeier (RB)	33.8%
Kyle Pitts (TE)	28.9%
Darnell Mooney (WR)	26.0%
Casey Washington (WR)	12.3%

First touchdown scorer predictions

Miami Dolphins

Player	First TD Probability
De'Von Achane (RB)	13.2%
Jaylen Waddle (WR)	6.4%
Malik Washington (WR)	3.5%
Nick Westbrook-Ikhine (WR)	3.1%
Ollie Gordon (RB)	3.1%

Atlanta Falcons

Player	First TD Probability
Bijan Robinson (RB)	20.4%
Tyler Allgeier (RB)	8.8%
Kyle Pitts (TE)	7.3%
Darnell Mooney (WR)	6.4%
Casey Washington (WR)	2.8%

Dolphins vs Falcons player props

Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Dolphins and Falcons. Head to our NFL player projections page now to access a full list of player prop projections for every offensive player in this matchup and all other Week 8 games.

Quarterbacks

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Dolphins' Tua Tagovailoa is projected for 202 passing yards, while the Falcons' Kirk Cousins is expected to throw for 231 yards.

Player	Proj. Pass Yards
Tua Tagovailoa (MIA)	202
Kirk Cousins (ATL)	231

Dolphins rushing

Player	Proj. Rush Yards
De'Von Achane	64
Ollie Gordon	20
Malik Washington	9

Falcons rushing

Player	Proj. Rush Yards
Bijan Robinson	89
Tyler Allgeier	43
Kirk Cousins	6

Dolphins receiving

Player	Proj. Rec. Yards
Jaylen Waddle	65
De'Von Achane	33
Malik Washington	33
Nick Westbrook-Ikhine	24
Tanner Conner	17

Falcons receiving

Player	Proj. Rec. Yards
Darnell Mooney	62
Kyle Pitts	52
Bijan Robinson	44
Casey Washington	33
Tyler Allgeier	5

Dolphins vs. Falcons game-day updates and essential details

The NFL Week 8 game between the Falcons and Dolphins at Mercedes-Benz Stadium is scheduled to commence at 1:00PM ET.

• Who: Miami Dolphins vs. Atlanta Falcons
• Date: Sunday, October 26, 2025
• Time: 1:00PM ET/10:00AM PT
• Venue: Mercedes-Benz Stadium

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Conclusion

We predict the Falcons, with a 73% win probability, will likely beat the Dolphins in Week 8 of the NFL season.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Dolphins vs. Falcons insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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